Faetano vs Murata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 86', 1 - 0, Elia G. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, Lenzu A. A. ,

Chances of winning


Faetano
33.2%
Draw
28%
Murata
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 26% 37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35% 24.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Faetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Murata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Faetano - Murata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.51)
    3.24
    (3.54)
    2.34
    (2.46)
    10.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 2.
    • Faetano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Murata is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Faetano won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.7:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Faetano - Murata were as follows:
    22.10.2025 Faetano - Murata 1:1
    29.08.2025 Murata - Faetano 0:2
    30.04.2025 Murata - Faetano 0:1
    18.04.2025 Murata - Faetano 2:2
    20.01.2024 Faetano - Murata 0:0
    Latest results of Faetano
    20.12.2025 Tre Fiori - Faetano 3:0
    13.12.2025 Faetano - Fiorentino 0:3
    07.12.2025 Domagnano - Faetano 4:1
    30.11.2025 Faetano - San Giovanni 1:0
    22.11.2025 Juvenes-Dogana - Faetano 3:1
    Latest results of Murata
    20.12.2025 Fiorentino - Murata 3:0
    13.12.2025 Murata - Virtus 0:2
    06.12.2025 Tre Fiori - Murata 4:0
    30.11.2025 Murata - Pennarossa 1:2
    26.11.2025 Murata - La Fiorita 0:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Virtus (2)Bye
    2Juvenes/Dogana (9)Libertas (10)1 : 1
    3Folgore (5)Bye
    4ByeDomagnano (6)
    5Tre Penne (3)Bye
    6Cosmos (8)Pennarossa (11)3 : 0
    7La Fiorita (4)Bye
    8ByeFiorentino (7)

    Quarter-finals
    1Virtus (2)Juvenes/Dogana (9)
    2Folgore (5)Domagnano (6)1 : 0
    3Tre Penne (3)Cosmos (8)
    4La Fiorita (4)Fiorentino (7)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place