Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Ribeiro S. (Pen),
- 40', Cioletti G. ↓, Ricardo M. ↑,
- 44', Braga V. 🟨,
- 45', Faria B. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Leite T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Vigario J. ↓, Nandinho ↑,
- 52', Amorim J. ↓, Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↑,
- 54', Nandinho 🟨,
- 64', Renato Luis ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
- 64', Ribeiro S. ↓, Arsenio ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Goba Zakpa ⚽,
- 71', Castro D. 🟨,
- 73', Bruninho ↓, Picas ↑,
- 73', Pereira M. ↓, Serra Matos P. M. ↑,
- 80', Braga V. ↓, Kodama R. ↑,
- 83', Goba Zakpa ↓, Valente M. ↑,
- 83', Tokinho Doria ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 84', Amorim J. 🟥,
- 90+5', Martins H. 🟨,
- 90+7', Arsenio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia
42.7% | Draw
28.5% | Fafe
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Lusitânia - Fafe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(2) |
3.24 ↑
(3.2) |
3.2 ↓
(3.45) |
8.4%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Fafe?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lusitânia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lusitânia will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 6).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 4.
- Lusitânia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Fafe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lusitânia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Lusitânia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:10 (average 2.1:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lusitânia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Fafe?
Lusitânia has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Lusitânia?
Fafe has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Fafe were as follows:
22.02.2025
Fafe
-
Lusitânia
1:2
07.12.2024
Fafe
-
Lusitânia
1:2
25.08.2024
Lusitânia
-
Fafe
4:0
17.12.2023
Lusitânia
-
Fafe
2:3
03.09.2023
Fafe
-
Lusitânia
0:3
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 7 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Amora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Covilha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
