Result
1:0
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Erik 🟨,
- 30', Ribeiro Oliveira J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Carvalho D. 🟨,
- 62', Carvalho D. ↓, Miguel ↑,
- 62', Balelo ↓, Fonseca R. ↑,
- 64', Fonseca T. 🟨,
- 69', Ribeiro Oliveira J. ↓, Braga V. ↑,
- 69', Fonseca T. ↓, Veiga T. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Santos J. ⚽,
- 78', Matheus Brito 🟨,
- 84', Macedo Z. ↓, Santos Outeiro D. ↑,
- 84', Yuk J. ↓, Soares A. ↑,
- 85', Carlos Daniel 🟨,
- 86', Santos J. ↓, Ka ↑,
- 89', Teixeira L. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Fafe
44.9% | Draw
30.1% | Paredes
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Fafe - Paredes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↓
(2.21) |
3.05 ↑
(2.93) |
3.68 ↑
(3.37) |
8.8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Fafe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 0.8:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fafe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Paredes?
Fafe has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paredes won against Fafe?
Paredes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fafe - Paredes were as follows:
08.03.2026
Paredes
-
Fafe
0:0
29.11.2025
Fafe
-
Paredes
2:1
17.08.2025
Paredes
-
Fafe
1:1
28.01.2023
Paredes
-
Fafe
0:1
09.10.2022
Fafe
-
Paredes
0:0
Latest results of Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
