Result
5:1
13/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Veiga T. ⚽,
- 23', 1 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 1, Damaso N. (Own goal),
- 29', 🟨,
- 36', 🟨,
- 37', Picas 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Diagne O. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
- 46', Cunha G. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 49', Cardoso F. 🟨,
- 51', 3 - 1, Ivandro ⚽,
- 62', Fonseca T. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
- 62', Picas ↓, Ka ↑,
- 63', Borges F. 🟨,
- 69', 4 - 1, Duarte E. ⚽,
- 70', Ivandro ↓, Paciencia V. ↑,
- 70', Diarra M. ↓, Melro R. ↑,
- 73', 🟨,
- 73', 🟨,
- 76', 🟨,
- 79', Teixeira L. ↓, Batista J. ↑,
- 83', 5 - 1, Melro R. ⚽,
- 90', Ribeiro Oliveira J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Trofense
35.3% | Draw
29.8% | Fafe
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Trofense - Fafe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↑
(2.35) |
3.21 ↑
(3.02) |
2.74 ↓
(3.07) |
4.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Trofense - Fafe?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Trofense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 2.
- Recent performances by Trofense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fafe is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fafe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Fafe?
Trofense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Trofense?
Fafe has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Fafe were as follows:
14.12.2024
Trofense
-
Fafe
3:2
31.08.2024
Fafe
-
Trofense
1:0
27.04.2024
Fafe
-
Trofense
2:3
24.02.2024
Trofense
-
Fafe
1:3
13.01.2024
Trofense
-
Fafe
0:1
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Braga B | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | AD Fafe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 9 | Amarante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
