Result
 
                    5:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        13/09/2025 at  10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 3 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Portugal | Canal 11 | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 45% | 55% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 5 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 7 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Veiga T. ⚽, 
- 23', 1 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽, 
- 26', 2 - 1, Damaso N. (Own goal), 
- 29',  🟨, 
- 36',  🟨, 
- 37', Picas 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Diagne O. ↓, Borges F. ↑, 
- 46', Cunha G. ↓, Pereira M. ↑, 
- 49', Cardoso F. 🟨, 
- 51', 3 - 1, Ivandro ⚽, 
- 62', Fonseca T. ↓, Santos J. ↑, 
- 62', Picas ↓, Ka ↑, 
- 63', Borges F. 🟨, 
- 69', 4 - 1, Duarte E. ⚽, 
- 70', Ivandro ↓, Paciencia V. ↑, 
- 70', Diarra M. ↓, Melro R. ↑, 
- 73',  🟨, 
- 73',  🟨, 
- 76',  🟨, 
- 79', Teixeira L. ↓, Batista J. ↑, 
- 83', 5 - 1, Melro R. ⚽, 
- 90', Ribeiro Oliveira J. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Trofense 35.3%
 | Draw 29.8%
 | Fafe 34.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Trofense - Fafe Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.71 ↑ (2.35)
 | 3.21 ↑ (3.02)
 | 2.74 ↓ (3.07)
 | 4.6% (8.3%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Trofense - Fafe?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Trofense (votes: 1 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 9 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 2.
- Recent performances by Trofense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fafe is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fafe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Fafe?
                    
                    
                        
                            Trofense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against Trofense?
                    
                    
                        
                             Fafe has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Fafe were as follows:
                                                        
                                14.12.2024 
                                Trofense 
                                - 
                                Fafe 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                31.08.2024 
                                Fafe 
                                - 
                                Trofense 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.04.2024 
                                Fafe 
                                - 
                                Trofense 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.02.2024 
                                Trofense 
                                - 
                                Fafe 
                                1:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.01.2024 
                                Trofense 
                                - 
                                Fafe 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Trofense                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 | 
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 | 
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 | 
| 4 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 | 
| 5 | Varzim | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 | 
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 | 
| 7 | Amarante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 | 
| 8 | Paredes | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 | 
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 | 
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 | 
Group B|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Caldas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 | 
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 16 | 
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 | 
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 13 | 
| 5 | Atletico CP | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 | 
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 9 | 
| 7 | Amora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | 
| 8 | Santarem | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 8 | 
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 | 
| 10 | Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )