Fafe vs Trofense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
65
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
11
Total shots
117
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', Teixeira L. 🟥,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Cunha G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 13', Braga V. , Ze Oliveira ,
  • 16', Diarra M. 🟨,
  • 29', Ze Oliveira 🟨,
  • 30', 0 - 2, Cunha G. ,
  • 33', Batista J. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Duarte E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ivandro , Melro R. ,
  • 46', Diarra M. , Melro R. ,
  • 54', Lobo G. 🟨,
  • 57', Lobo G. 🟨,
  • 57', 🟨,
  • 59', Castro D. 🟨,
  • 59', Amorim J. , Carlos Daniel ,
  • 68', Duarte E. , Diagne O. ,
  • 68', Assis Cardoso R. H. , Welisson ,
  • 75', Picas , Pinto G. ,
  • 76', Ribeiro Oliveira J. , Teixeira T. ,
  • 80', Silva N. 🟨,
  • 83', Borges F. , Pereira M. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel ,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fafe
47.3%
Draw
29.1%
Trofense
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 27.2% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 26% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fafe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Fafe - Trofense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.81)
    3.15
    (3.37)
    3.87
    (4.15)
    9.3%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Fafe - Trofense?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fafe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Trofense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fafe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Trofense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fafe is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fafe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fafe - Trofense were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Trofense - Fafe 5:1
    14.12.2024 Trofense - Fafe 3:2
    31.08.2024 Fafe - Trofense 1:0
    27.04.2024 Fafe - Trofense 2:3
    24.02.2024 Trofense - Fafe 1:3
    Latest results of Fafe
    07.12.2025 Marco 09 - Fafe 1:1
    29.11.2025 Fafe - Paredes 2:1
    23.11.2025 Fafe - Arouca 2:1
    09.11.2025 Sanjoanense - Fafe 1:1
    01.11.2025 Braga B - Fafe 1:0
    Latest results of Trofense
    07.12.2025 Trofense - Paredes 0:0
    01.12.2025 Braga B - Trofense 1:1
    02.11.2025 Trofense - Amarante 0:1
    25.10.2025 Marco 09 - Trofense 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )