Result
0:0
01/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Basto H. 🟨,
- 40', Joel ↓, Reko Silva ↑,
- 41', Reko Silva 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lopes L. ↓, Roka ↑,
- 46', Borges F. ↓, Feliz ↑,
- 46', Innusah H. ↓, Arome ↑,
- 66', Almeida F. 🟨,
- 70', Almeida F. 🟥,
- 71', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↑,
- 74', Paciencia V. ↓, Diarra M. ↑,
- 90+3', Aguiar E. ↓, Ribeiro O. ↑,
- 90+3', Ventura ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Trofense
24.4% | Draw
29.1% | Amarante
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trofense's form might have worsened.Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amarante's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trofense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amarante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Trofense - Amarante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↑
(2.66) |
3.09 ↑
(2.98) |
1.94 ↓
(2.61) |
11%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Trofense - Amarante?
Users Predictions:
Amarante will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 1.
- Trofense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Amarante is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Amarante will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Amarante?
Trofense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amarante won against Trofense?
Amarante has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Amarante were as follows:
08.03.2026
Amarante
-
Trofense
1:0
25.01.2026
Amarante
-
Trofense
1:1
02.11.2025
Trofense
-
Amarante
0:1
10.11.2024
Trofense
-
Amarante
1:0
11.08.2024
Amarante
-
Trofense
1:0
Latest results of Trofense
Latest results of Amarante
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
