Kashima Antlers vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama
28/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.49
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
83% (427/517)61% (135/222)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.49
xG on target (xGOT)
2.411.01
Total shots
1910
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
3911
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
98
Passes
83% (427/517)61% (135/222)
Long passes
30% (14/46)22% (14/63)
Passes in final third
67% (110/165)45% (35/78)
Crosses
34% (13/38)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.350.48
Throw-ins
3217
Fouls
89
Tackles
78% (7/9)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5471
Clearances
1949
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.012.41
Goals prevented
-0.991.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. , Koike R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Esaka A. , Lucao (A),
  • 53', Yanagi T. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Kamiya Yuta , Esaka A. (A),
  • 64', Kimura T. , Iwabuchi H. ,
  • 64', Yanagi T. , Motoyama H. ,
  • 68', Ogawa R. , Mizoguchi S. ,
  • 68', Nono K. , Higuchi Y. ,
  • 77', Cavric A. , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 77', Misao K. , Shibasaki G. ,
  • 78', Kamiya Yuta , Takeuchi R. ,
  • 78', Lucao , Ichimi K. ,
  • 81', Funabashi Y. , Talles Brener ,
  • 82', Shibasaki G. 🟨,
  • 87', Esaka A. , Sueyoshi R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
51.4%
Draw
27.4%
Fagiano Okayama
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 28.1% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 28.1% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.94)
    3.42
    (3.4)
    4.47
    (4.24)
    5.3%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.03%99.11%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Kashima is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Inactive) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Kashima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    20.04.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Kashima Antlers 1:2
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League