Result
28/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball, ZhiBo8 |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 0.49 |
Ball Possession |
---|
70% | 30% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (427/517) | 61% (135/222) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.59 | 0.49 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.41 | 1.01 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
39 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
83% (427/517) | 61% (135/222) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (14/46) | 22% (14/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (110/165) | 45% (35/78) |
Crosses |
---|
34% (13/38) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.35 | 0.48 |
Throw-ins |
---|
32 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (7/9) | 71% (15/21) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 71 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 49 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.01 | 2.41 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.99 | 1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Suzuki Y. ⚽, Koike R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Esaka A. ⚽, Lucao (A),
- 53', Yanagi T. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Kamiya Yuta ⚽, Esaka A. (A),
- 64', Kimura T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 64', Yanagi T. ↓, Motoyama H. ↑,
- 68', Ogawa R. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
- 68', Nono K. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 77', Cavric A. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 77', Misao K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
- 78', Kamiya Yuta ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
- 78', Lucao ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 81', Funabashi Y. ↓, Talles Brener ↑,
- 82', Shibasaki G. 🟨,
- 87', Esaka A. ↓, Sueyoshi R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashima Antlers 51.4% | Draw 27.4% | Fagiano Okayama 21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashima Antlers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↓ (1.94) |
3.42 ↑ (3.4) |
4.47 ↑ (4.24) |
5.3% (4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(31 of 35 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.03% – 99.11%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Kashima is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K.
(Inactive)
Morooka S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Sekigawa I.
(Knee Injury)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kashima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Kashima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Fagiano Okayama?
Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Kashima Antlers?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
20.04.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Kashima Antlers
1:2
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 40:26 | 14 | 51 |
2 | Machida | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 33:19 | 14 | 49 |
6 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
7 | Urawa Reds | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 44 |
8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 42 |
9 | Okayama | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:23 | 3 | 39 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 37 |
12 | Gamba Osaka | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Verdy | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 31 |
15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
16 | Nagoya Grampus | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 33:41 | -8 | 28 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Shonan Bellmare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 22:42 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 22 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 27:47 | -20 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League