Result
0:1
11/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (217/308) | 79% (312/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (217/308) | 79% (312/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (35/78) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (87/139) | 72% (86/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 35 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 78% (21/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 89 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 67 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Pinyaev S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
- 46', Brahimi M. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
- 52', Pogostnov E. 🟨,
- 64', Alshin I. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 64', Yakimov V. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
- 74', Iljin V. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
- 76', Vorobyev D. ↓, Suleymanov T. ↑,
- 90+3', Pinyaev S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Suleymanov T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fakel
31% | Draw
29.2% | Lokomotiv Moscow
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fakel's performance.Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fakel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↓
(4.56) |
3.38 ↓
(3.73) |
2.48 ↑
(1.9) |
1.4%
(1.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1.
- Recent form of Fakel has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lokomotiv has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of home games.
- Lokomotiv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Fakel: Dziov M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Morozov E.
(Yellow Cards)
Samoshnikov I.
(Injury)
Timofeev A.
(Red Card)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Fakel has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Fakel?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
09.11.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Fakel
2:1
18.05.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Fakel
2:0
30.07.2023
Fakel
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:4
20.05.2023
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Fakel
1:0
11.09.2022
Fakel
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
2:0
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
