Fakel vs Lokomotiv Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Fakel Stadium (Voronezh).

Premier League - Round 28
Referee: Kukulyak E. (Rus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	0.64
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
14	3
Passes
70% (217/308)	79% (312/394)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	0.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.10	0.89
Total shots
12	12
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
14	3
Touches in opposition box
48	25
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
7	16
Passes
70% (217/308)	79% (312/394)
Long passes
45% (35/78)	50% (27/54)
Passes in final third
63% (87/139)	72% (86/120)
Crosses
19% (5/26)	27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.61	0.51
Throw-ins
35	22
Fouls
16	7
Tackles
62% (13/21)	78% (21/27)
Duels won
65	89
Clearances
22	67
Interceptions
14	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.89	0.10
Goals prevented
-0.11	0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Vorobyev D. ⚽, Pinyaev S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
46', Brahimi M. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
52', Pogostnov E. 🟨,
64', Alshin I. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
64', Yakimov V. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
74', Iljin V. ↓, Giorgobiani N. ↑,
76', Vorobyev D. ↓, Suleymanov T. ↑,
90+3', Pinyaev S. 🟨,
90+5', Suleymanov T. 🟨,
90+5', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fakel
31%

Draw
29.2%

Lokomotiv Moscow
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

26.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

26.5%

51.8%

Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (4.56)	3.38 ↓ (3.73)	2.48 ↑ (1.9)	1.4% (1.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1.
Recent form of Fakel has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Lokomotiv has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lokomotiv has had a series of home games.
Lokomotiv is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Fakel: Dziov M. (Injury)
There will not play in Lokomotiv: Morozov E. (Yellow Cards) Samoshnikov I. (Injury) Timofeev A. (Red Card)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Lokomotiv Moscow?

Fakel has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Fakel?

Lokomotiv Moscow has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:

09.11.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Fakel 2:1

18.05.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow - Fakel 2:0

30.07.2023 Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:4

20.05.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow - Fakel 1:0

11.09.2022 Fakel - Lokomotiv Moscow 2:0

Latest results of Fakel

04.05.2025 Fakel - Spartak Moscow 0:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Rubin Kazan - Fakel 2:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Fakel - Rostov 0:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Fakel 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Fakel - Akhmat Grozny 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow

03.05.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg 1:1 ✺

30.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Rostov 0:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Pari NN 3:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Lokomotiv Moscow - Akhmat Grozny 2:1 ✺

Russian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Krasnodar	14	10	2	2	27:8	19	32
2	CSKA Moscow	14	9	3	2	25:13	12	30
3	Zenit	14	8	5	1	28:11	17	29
4	Baltika	14	7	6	1	20:6	14	27
5	Lokomotiv Moscow	14	7	6	1	30:19	11	27
6	Spartak Moscow	14	6	4	4	22:20	2	22
7	Rubin Kazan	14	5	4	5	15:19	-4	19
8	Dynamo Moscow	14	4	5	5	21:21	0	17
9	Akhmat Grozny	14	4	4	6	18:21	-3	16
10	Akron Togliatti	14	3	6	5	16:19	-3	15
11	FK Rostov	14	3	6	5	11:15	-4	15
12	Dynamo Makhachkala	14	3	5	6	8:16	-8	14
13	Krylya Sovetov	14	3	4	7	17:25	-8	13
14	Orenburg	14	2	5	7	17:25	-8	11
15	Sochi	14	2	2	10	12:33	-21	8
16	Pari NN	14	2	1	11	9:25	-16	7

Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL