Sokol Saratov vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 19
  • Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
37
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
17
Free Kicks
1624

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', Netfullin R. 🟨,
  • 37', Butaev A. 🟨,
  • 40', Churikov I. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Pusi B. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ermolin R. , Kireenko P. ,
  • 53', Kahrimanovic A. 🟨,
  • 62', Shpitalnyi V. , Nikitin K. ,
  • 71', Uridia M. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 71', Yakimov V. , Magomedov B. ,
  • 82', Kahrimanovic A. , Lazarev V. ,
  • 82', Churikov I. , Gloydman N. ,
  • 85', Turishchev M. 🟨,
  • 85', Alshin I. , Motpan N. ,
  • 85', Giorgobiani N. , Abdokov N. ,
  • 89', Bykov A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pusi B. , Gongadze G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sokol Saratov
22.9%
Draw
32.6%
Fakel
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 29.1% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 28.8% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fakel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sokol Saratov - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.16
    (4.99)
    2.93
    (3.26)
    2.15
    (1.83)
    4.8%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sokol Saratov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sokol Saratov has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Fakel has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Fakel is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sokol Saratov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sokol Saratov - Fakel were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Fakel - Sokol Saratov 1:0
    Latest results of Sokol Saratov
    Latest results of Fakel
    10.11.2025 Fakel - Spartak Kostroma 3:2
    03.11.2025 Fakel - Torpedo Moscow 2:0
    30.10.2025 Fakel - Arsenal Tula 2:3
    26.10.2025 SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel 1:0
    20.10.2025 Fakel - Rotor 4:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Rodina Moscow251210339:211846
    3Ural25136635:241145
    4S. Kostroma25911536:30638
    5Kamaz25910641:281337
    6Chelyabinsk25910633:26737
    7R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    8Neftekhimik24810630:27334
    9SKA Khabarovsk2589827:30-333
    10Arsenal Tula25711733:30332
    11Shinnik Yaroslavl25710822:23-131
    12Yenisey25710821:29-831
    13Torpedo Moscow25861123:31-830
    14Chernomorets Novorossijsk25771129:32-328
    15Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka25371523:53-3016
    18Saratov252101310:29-1916

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