Sokol Saratov vs Fakel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 19
  • Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
37
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
17
Free Kicks
1624

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', Netfullin R. 🟨,
  • 37', Butaev A. 🟨,
  • 40', Churikov I. 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Pusi B. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ermolin R. , Kireenko P. ,
  • 53', Kahrimanovic A. 🟨,
  • 62', Shpitalnyi V. , Nikitin K. ,
  • 71', Uridia M. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 71', Yakimov V. , Magomedov B. ,
  • 82', Kahrimanovic A. , Lazarev V. ,
  • 82', Churikov I. , Gloydman N. ,
  • 85', Turishchev M. 🟨,
  • 85', Alshin I. , Motpan N. ,
  • 85', Giorgobiani N. , Abdokov N. ,
  • 89', Bykov A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Pusi B. , Gongadze G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sokol Saratov
22.9%
Draw
32.6%
Fakel
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19% 29.1% 51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 28.8% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fakel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sokol Saratov - Fakel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.16
    (4.99)
    2.93
    (3.26)
    2.15
    (1.83)
    4.8%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Sokol Saratov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Sokol Saratov has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Fakel has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Fakel is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sokol Saratov won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sokol Saratov won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sokol Saratov - Fakel were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Fakel - Sokol Saratov 1:0
    Latest results of Sokol Saratov
    Latest results of Fakel
    10.11.2025 Fakel - Spartak Kostroma 3:2
    03.11.2025 Fakel - Torpedo Moscow 2:0
    30.10.2025 Fakel - Arsenal Tula 2:3
    26.10.2025 SKA Khabarovsk - Fakel 1:0
    20.10.2025 Fakel - Rotor 4:0
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural32177848:291958
    4R. Volgograd321411742:251753
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl321113831:25646
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula32815941:39239
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

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