Fakel vs Volga Ulyanovsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 13
  • Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
44
Free Kicks
1623

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Umnikov M. ,
  • 32', Alshin I. , Motpan N. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Pusi B. (Pen),
  • 45', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
  • 45', Umnikov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Rudenko V. , Kamenshchikov D. ,
  • 59', Gongadze G. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 59', Magomedov B. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 68', Umnikov M. , Kostin A. ,
  • 68', Gershun I. , Murza A. ,
  • 80', Kovalev A. 🟨,
  • 81', Pusi B. , Abdokov N. ,
  • 82', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 84', Voronin E. , Yakovlev V. ,
  • 85', Krasilnichenko O. , Gutsa A. ,
  • 90+2', Obukhov I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fakel
59.5%
Draw
26%
Volga Ulyanovsk
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 25% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 24.5% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.55)
    3.63
    (3.79)
    6.52
    (6.71)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Fakel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Volga Ulyanovsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Volga Ulyanovsk has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Fakel is the undisputed favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Fakel
    Latest results of Volga Ulyanovsk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh24164430:121852
    2Ural24136533:201345
    3Rodina Moscow241110334:191543
    4S. Kostroma24910535:29637
    5Chelyabinsk24910533:25837
    6R. Volgograd2599728:20836
    7Kamaz24810638:271134
    8SKA Khabarovsk2489726:27-133
    9Neftekhimik23710627:27031
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl2479821:22-130
    11Arsenal Tula24611730:29129
    12Yenisey24610817:27-1028
    13Chernomorets Novorossijsk24771028:29-128
    14Ulyanovsk25761229:39-1027
    15Torpedo Moscow24761122:31-927
    16Ufa25681128:33-526
    17FK Chayka24371421:48-2716
    18Saratov242101210:26-1616

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation