Fakel vs Volga Ulyanovsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 13
  • Referee: Silantyev K. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
910
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
44
Free Kicks
1623

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Umnikov M. ,
  • 32', Alshin I. , Motpan N. ,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Pusi B. (Pen),
  • 45', Giorgobiani N. 🟨,
  • 45', Umnikov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Rudenko V. , Kamenshchikov D. ,
  • 59', Gongadze G. , Turishchev M. ,
  • 59', Magomedov B. , Kovalev A. ,
  • 68', Umnikov M. , Kostin A. ,
  • 68', Gershun I. , Murza A. ,
  • 80', Kovalev A. 🟨,
  • 81', Pusi B. , Abdokov N. ,
  • 82', Bagamaev A. , Simonov K. ,
  • 84', Voronin E. , Yakovlev V. ,
  • 85', Krasilnichenko O. , Gutsa A. ,
  • 90+2', Obukhov I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fakel
59.5%
Draw
26%
Volga Ulyanovsk
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 25% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 24.5% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.55)
    3.63
    (3.79)
    6.52
    (6.71)
    5.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 13).
    • Recent performances by Fakel have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Volga Ulyanovsk has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Volga Ulyanovsk has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Fakel is the undisputed favorite.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Fakel
    Latest results of Volga Ulyanovsk
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh32197641:221964
    2Rodina Moscow321711452:272562
    3Ural31177748:282058
    4R. Volgograd311410740:231752
    5Kamaz321213746:311549
    6S. Kostroma321212845:39648
    7Yenisey3212101036:34246
    8Shinnik Yaroslavl311013830:25543
    9Chelyabinsk321013940:36443
    10Torpedo Moscow321191235:38-342
    11Neftekhimik3210121038:37142
    12Arsenal Tula31814939:37238
    13Ulyanovsk32991433:43-1036
    14SKA Khabarovsk318111232:45-1335
    15Ufa317101430:37-731
    16Chernomorets Novorossijsk32781733:48-1529
    17FK Chayka32572030:69-3922
    18Saratov324101814:43-2922

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Relegation