Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 33
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1 |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Scotland | BBC Scotland |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Ayr United Media, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Mackie S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tait D. 🟨,
- 51', Miller C. 🟨,
- 62', Rus M. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
- 63', Hastie J. ↓, Henderson J. ↑,
- 63', McLennan C. ↓, McKinnon C. ↑,
- 65', Arfield S. ↓, Nesbitt A. ↑,
- 65', Oliver G. ↓, Stewart B. ↑,
- 73', Oakley G. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
- 75', Ross E. ↓, Agyeman A. ↑,
- 76', Main C. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
- 83', Donaldson C. ↓, Graham L. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90', 1 - 1, Walker E. ⚽, McAllister N. (A),
- 90+3', Walker E. 🟨,
- 90+4', Walker E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ayr United
24.5% | Draw
28.6% | Falkirk
46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Ayr United - Falkirk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.81 ↑
(3.29) |
3.27 ↓
(3.44) |
1.99 ↓
(2.08) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ayr United - Falkirk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Falkirk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkirk: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ayr (votes: 2 - 50%). Falkirk (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr won 2.
- Ayr is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Falkirk is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Falkirk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Falkirk will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Ayr won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:23 (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ayr won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Falkirk?
Ayr United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Ayr United?
Falkirk has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Falkirk were as follows:
15.02.2025
Falkirk
-
Ayr United
2:2
14.12.2024
Ayr United
-
Falkirk
5:2
05.10.2024
Falkirk
-
Ayr United
2:0
16.07.2024
Ayr United
-
Falkirk
1:0
05.09.2023
Ayr United
-
Falkirk
0:1
Latest results of Ayr United
Latest results of Falkirk
Draw
PromotionQuarter-finals| 1 | Ross County | Bye | |
| 3 | Livingston | Bye | |
| 4 | Ayr | Partick Thistle | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ross County | Bye | |
| 2 | Livingston | Partick Thistle | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Ross County | Livingston | 2 : 4, 1 : 1 |
