Ayr United vs Falkirk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Football Championship Ayr United - Falkirk
Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 33
  • Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
norwayNorwayViaplay
scotlandScotlandBBC Scotland
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAyr United Media, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
26
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
512
Corner Kicks
26
Goalkeeper Saves
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Mackie S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tait D. 🟨,
  • 51', Miller C. 🟨,
  • 62', Rus M. , Murphy J. ,
  • 63', Hastie J. , Henderson J. ,
  • 63', McLennan C. , McKinnon C. ,
  • 65', Arfield S. , Nesbitt A. ,
  • 65', Oliver G. , Stewart B. ,
  • 73', Oakley G. , Walker E. ,
  • 75', Ross E. , Agyeman A. ,
  • 76', Main C. , McKenzie M. ,
  • 83', Donaldson C. , Graham L. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Walker E. , McAllister N. (A),
  • 90+3', Walker E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Walker E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ayr United
24.5%
Draw
28.6%
Falkirk
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 27% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 26.8% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Ayr United - Falkirk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.81
    (3.29)
    3.27
    (3.44)
    1.99
    (2.08)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ayr United - Falkirk?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Falkirk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Falkirk: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ayr (votes: 2 - 50%). Falkirk (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr won 2.
    • Ayr is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Falkirk is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Falkirk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Falkirk will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Ayr won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:23 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ayr won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Falkirk were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Falkirk - Ayr United 2:2
    14.12.2024 Ayr United - Falkirk 5:2
    05.10.2024 Falkirk - Ayr United 2:0
    16.07.2024 Ayr United - Falkirk 1:0
    05.09.2023 Ayr United - Falkirk 0:1
    Latest results of Ayr United
    Latest results of Falkirk
    05.04.2025 Falkirk - Greenock Morton 5:0
    25.03.2025 Livingston - Falkirk 1:0
    22.03.2025 Falkirk - Airdrieonians 2:0
    15.03.2025 Queens Park - Falkirk 0:4
    Draw
    Promotion

    Quarter-finals
    1Ross CountyBye
    3LivingstonBye
    4AyrPartick Thistle0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ross CountyBye
    2LivingstonPartick Thistle2 : 0, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Ross CountyLivingston2 : 4, 1 : 1