Ayr United vs Falkirk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 33
  • Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
norwayNorwayViaplay
scotlandScotlandBBC Scotland
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAyr United Media, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
26
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
10
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
512
Corner Kicks
26
Goalkeeper Saves
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Mackie S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tait D. 🟨,
  • 51', Miller C. 🟨,
  • 62', Rus M. , Murphy J. ,
  • 63', Hastie J. , Henderson J. ,
  • 63', McLennan C. , McKinnon C. ,
  • 65', Arfield S. , Nesbitt A. ,
  • 65', Oliver G. , Stewart B. ,
  • 73', Oakley G. , Walker E. ,
  • 75', Ross E. , Agyeman A. ,
  • 76', Main C. , McKenzie M. ,
  • 83', Donaldson C. , Graham L. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Walker E. , McAllister N. (A),
  • 90+3', Walker E. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Walker E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ayr United
24.5%
Draw
28.6%
Falkirk
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 27% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 26.8% 45%

Ayr United - Falkirk Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.81
(3.29)
3.27
(3.44)
1.99
(2.08)
7.1%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ayr United - Falkirk?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ayr will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Falkirk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Falkirk: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ayr (votes: 2 - 50%). Falkirk (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr won 2.
    • Ayr is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Falkirk is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Falkirk could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Falkirk will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Ayr won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:23 (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ayr won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Falkirk were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Falkirk - Ayr United 2:2
    14.12.2024 Ayr United - Falkirk 5:2
    05.10.2024 Falkirk - Ayr United 2:0
    16.07.2024 Ayr United - Falkirk 1:0
    05.09.2023 Ayr United - Falkirk 0:1
    Latest results of Ayr United
    Latest results of Falkirk
    05.04.2025 Falkirk - Greenock Morton 5:0
    25.03.2025 Livingston - Falkirk 1:0
    22.03.2025 Falkirk - Airdrieonians 2:0
    15.03.2025 Queens Park - Falkirk 0:4
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone20126242:172542
    2Partick Thistle20107330:21937
    3Arbroath2096527:24333
    4Ayr20610426:23328
    5Dunfermline2075828:22626
    6Raith2066821:20124
    7Morton20410618:25-722
    8Queen's Park1939720:29-918
    9Airdrieonians20461017:30-1318
    10Ross County19271018:36-1813

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One