Result
5:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 29
- Referee: Steven C. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Falkirk TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (341/419) | 79% (336/424) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.22 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.57 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (341/419) | 79% (336/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (53/79) | 57% (41/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (84/116) | 63% (64/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 4.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 1', 1 - 0, Schilte-Brown E. (Own goal),
- 28', 2 - 0, Tait D. ⚽,
- 31', Spencer B. 🟨,
- 36', 3 - 0, Stewart B. ⚽, Donaldson C. (A),
- 40', 3 - 1, Kiltie G. ⚽,
- 43', Kiltie G. 🟨,
- 44', Donaldson C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 4 - 1, Stewart B. ⚽, Miller C. (A),
- 53', Deas R. 🟨,
- 56', 5 - 1, Tait D. ⚽,
- 58', Anderson B. ↓, Polworth L. ↑,
- 58', Curtis F. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 58', Spencer B. ↓, Cartwright H. ↑,
- 61', McCann L. 🟨,
- 64', Schjonning-Larsen M. ↓, Brandon J. ↑,
- 75', Donaldson C. ↓, Neilson L. ↑,
- 75', Broggio B. ↓, Ross E. ↑,
- 76', Miller C. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
- 78', Hugill J. ↓, Clescenco N. ↑,
- 78', Thompson D. ↓, Tshibola A. ↑,
- 80', Stewart B. ↓, Graham B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Falkirk
57.2% | Draw
23% | Kilmarnock
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkirk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Falkirk - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.7) |
4.08 ↑
(3.9) |
4.79 ↑
(4.39) |
5.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Falkirk - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Falkirk will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kilmarnock will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkirk: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Falkirk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Falkirk: MacIver R.
(Inactive)
Neilson L.
(Inactive)
Oliver G.
(Hamstring Injury)
Parkinson B.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
Mayo L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thomson J.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: John-Jules T.
(Injury)
Lyons B.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Falkirk won against Kilmarnock?
Falkirk has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Falkirk?
Kilmarnock has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Falkirk - Kilmarnock were as follows:
20.12.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Falkirk
0:1
01.11.2025
Falkirk
-
Kilmarnock
3:1
Latest results of Falkirk
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Celtic ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 56:32 | 24 | 61 |
| 3 | Rangers ✔ | 30 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 60 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 49:23 | 26 | 53 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 48:35 | 13 | 47 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 38:38 | 0 | 43 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 38:48 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31:48 | -17 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 24 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 33:60 | -27 | 24 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 31:59 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
