Result
0:1
15/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.43 | 1.11 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
11 | 10 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
12 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 14 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
33 | 25 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
18 | 25 |
Passes |
---|
73% (213/291) | 74% (297/400) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
46% (40/87) | 59% (63/107) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (7/30) | 20% (3/15) |
Tackles |
---|
75% (12/16) | 60% (9/15) |
Clearances Total |
---|
32 | 42 |
Interceptions |
---|
12 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Navarro F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gorby ↓, Racic U. ↑,
- 56', Robson Bambu 🟨,
- 58', Njie Y. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 66', Robson Bambu ↓, Niakate S. ↑,
- 66', Zalazar R. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
- 67', Costa R. ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
- 72', Pastor 🟨,
- 77', Neto ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 77', Derick Poloni ↓, Menino M. ↑,
- 77', Pastor ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 86', Horta R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 90+4', Soares F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Farense 23.5% | Draw 27.5% | Braga 49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Farense - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.08 ↓ (4.3) |
3.43 ↓ (3.59) |
1.92 ↑ (1.82) |
5.7% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Farense - Braga?
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 1.
- Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Braga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Braga is a favorite.
- There will not play in Farense: Neto
(Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R.
(Thigh Injury)
Sa T.
(Red Card)
Vitor Carvalho
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Braga: Niakate S.
(Muscle Injury)
Zalazar R.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Braga?
Farense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Farense?
Braga has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Braga were as follows:
27.10.2024
Braga
-
Farense
2:0
18.02.2024
Braga
-
Farense
2:1
16.09.2023
Farense
-
Braga
3:1
Latest results of Farense