Result
0:1
15/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (213/291) | 74% (297/400) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 46% (40/87) | 59% (63/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 20% (3/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 60% (9/15) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 32 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Navarro F. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gorby ↓, Racic U. ↑,
- 56', Robson Bambu 🟨,
- 58', Njie Y. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 66', Robson Bambu ↓, Niakate S. ↑,
- 66', Zalazar R. ↓, Furtado R. ↑,
- 67', Costa R. ↓, Balde E. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 1, Martinez G. ⚽, Horta R. (A),
- 72', Pastor 🟨,
- 77', Neto ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 77', Derick Poloni ↓, Menino M. ↑,
- 77', Pastor ↓, Poveda D. ↑,
- 86', Horta R. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 90+4', Soares F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Farense
23.5% | Draw
27.5% | Braga
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Farense - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.08 ↓
(4.3) |
3.43 ↓
(3.59) |
1.92 ↑
(1.82) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Farense - Braga?
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 1.
- Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Braga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Braga is a favorite.
- There will not play in Farense: Neto
(Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R.
(Thigh Injury)
Sa T.
(Red Card)
Vitor Carvalho
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Braga: Niakate S.
(Muscle Injury)
Zalazar R.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Braga?
Farense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Farense?
Braga has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Braga were as follows:
27.10.2024
Braga
-
Farense
2:0
18.02.2024
Braga
-
Farense
2:1
16.09.2023
Farense
-
Braga
3:1
Latest results of Farense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 56:13 | 43 | 73 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 72:17 | 55 | 68 |
| 3 | Benfica | 28 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 59:18 | 41 | 66 |
| 4 | Braga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 54:27 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 35:24 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 42:28 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Estoril | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 50:47 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 31:40 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 | Alverca | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:46 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 | Arouca | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 30 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:35 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 33:47 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 27:49 | -22 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 18:61 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
