Farense vs Braga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Farense - Braga
Result
0:1
15/03/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 26
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSport TV Africa, ZAP
brazilBrazilDisney+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.431.11
Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
1110
Shots on Goal
34
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
124
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Free Kicks
1419
Offsides
40
Fouls
1914
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
3325
Touches in the Opposition Box
1825
Passes
73% (213/291)74% (297/400)
Passes in the final third
46% (40/87)59% (63/107)
Crosses
23% (7/30)20% (3/15)
Tackles
75% (12/16)60% (9/15)
Clearances Total
3242
Interceptions
124

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Navarro F. , El Ouazzani A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gorby , Racic U. ,
  • 56', Robson Bambu 🟨,
  • 58', Njie Y. , Matias M. ,
  • 66', Robson Bambu , Niakate S. ,
  • 66', Zalazar R. , Furtado R. ,
  • 67', Costa R. , Balde E. ,
  • 70', 0 - 1, Martinez G. , Horta R. (A),
  • 72', Pastor 🟨,
  • 77', Neto , Soares F. ,
  • 77', Derick Poloni , Menino M. ,
  • 77', Pastor , Poveda D. ,
  • 86', Horta R. , Rodrigues D. ,
  • 90+4', Soares F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
23.5%
Draw
27.5%
Braga
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 26.3% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 25.9% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Farense - Braga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.08
    (4.3)
    3.43
    (3.59)
    1.92
    (1.82)
    5.7%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Farense - Braga?
  • Users Predictions: Braga will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.02%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 1.
    • Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Braga is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Braga is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Farense: Neto (Injury)
    • There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R. (Thigh Injury) Sa T. (Red Card) Vitor Carvalho (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Braga: Niakate S. (Muscle Injury) Zalazar R. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Braga were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Braga - Farense 2:0
    18.02.2024 Braga - Farense 2:1
    16.09.2023 Farense - Braga 3:1
    Latest results of Farense
    08.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Farense 2:2
    02.03.2025 Farense - AVS 0:1
    23.02.2025 Arouca - Farense 2:2
    16.02.2025 Farense - Porto 0:1
    09.02.2025 Farense - Nacional 0:2
    Latest results of Braga
    08.03.2025 Braga - Porto 1:0
    02.03.2025 Rio Ave - Braga 2:1
    26.02.2025 Benfica - Braga 1:0
    21.02.2025 Braga - Nacional 1:0
    16.02.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Braga 0:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AFSVizela2 : 2, 3 : 0