Result
0:0
07/04/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.03 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
74% (252/341) | 77% (276/358) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 0.03 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.87 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 2 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 0 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
13 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 7 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
21 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
74% (252/341) | 77% (276/358) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (27/54) | 38% (25/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (63/112) | 62% (56/90) |
Crosses |
---|
11% (4/36) | 0% (0/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.60 | 0.22 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 21 |
Tackles |
---|
90% (18/20) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
71 | 65 |
Clearances Total |
---|
29 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 0.87 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Lucas Africo 🟨,
- 22', Neto 🟨,
- 43', Tchamba D. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
- 64', Njie Y. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 65', Miguel Sousa ↓, Caue ↑,
- 65', Kraev A. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 72', Derick Poloni 🟨,
- 81', Derick Poloni ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 81', Neto ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 85', Livolant J. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 85', Pablo Roberto ↓, Brito R. ↑,
- 87', Brito R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Menino M. ↓, Ribeiro T. ↑,
- 90+8', Geraldes A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Farense 38% | Draw 30.6% | Casa Pia 31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+3%)
Farense - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↓ (2.7) |
3.07 ↓ (3.1) |
2.96 ↑ (2.6) |
6.6% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Farense - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 17.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 1.
- Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Casa Pia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Kluivert R.
(Yellow Cards)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Farense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Casa Pia?
Farense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Farense?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Casa Pia were as follows:
09.11.2024
Casa Pia
-
Farense
1:1
20.01.2024
Casa Pia
-
Farense
1:3
12.08.2023
Farense
-
Casa Pia
0:3
Latest results of Farense
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2