Result
0:0
07/04/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (252/341) | 77% (276/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (252/341) | 77% (276/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 38% (25/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (63/112) | 62% (56/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (4/36) | 0% (0/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (18/20) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 65 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 29 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Lucas Africo 🟨,
- 22', Neto 🟨,
- 43', Tchamba D. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
- 64', Njie Y. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 65', Miguel Sousa ↓, Caue ↑,
- 65', Kraev A. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
- 72', Derick Poloni 🟨,
- 81', Derick Poloni ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 81', Neto ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 85', Livolant J. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 85', Pablo Roberto ↓, Brito R. ↑,
- 87', Brito R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Menino M. ↓, Ribeiro T. ↑,
- 90+8', Geraldes A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Farense
38% | Draw
30.6% | Casa Pia
31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+3%)
Farense - Casa Pia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.7) |
3.07 ↓
(3.1) |
2.96 ↑
(2.6) |
6.6%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Farense - Casa Pia?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 17.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Casa Pia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 1.
- Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Casa Pia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki
(Injury)
Kluivert R.
(Yellow Cards)
Mendes C.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Farense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Casa Pia?
Farense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Casa Pia won against Farense?
Casa Pia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Casa Pia were as follows:
09.11.2024
Casa Pia
-
Farense
1:1
20.01.2024
Casa Pia
-
Farense
1:3
12.08.2023
Farense
-
Casa Pia
0:3
Latest results of Farense
Latest results of Casa Pia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
| 2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
