Farense vs Casa Pia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
07/04/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 28
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.03
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
112
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
74% (252/341)77% (276/358)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.870.00
Total shots
112
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
50
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
257
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2118
Passes
74% (252/341)77% (276/358)
Long passes
50% (27/54)38% (25/65)
Passes in final third
56% (63/112)62% (56/90)
Crosses
11% (4/36)0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.22
Fouls
1821
Tackles
90% (18/20)73% (8/11)
Duels won
7165
Clearances Total
2945
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.000.87
Goals prevented
0.000.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Lucas Africo 🟨,
  • 22', Neto 🟨,
  • 43', Tchamba D. , Geraldes A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
  • 64', Njie Y. , Costa R. ,
  • 65', Miguel Sousa , Caue ,
  • 65', Kraev A. , Mohamed I. ,
  • 72', Derick Poloni 🟨,
  • 81', Derick Poloni , Matias M. ,
  • 81', Neto , Soares F. ,
  • 85', Livolant J. , Pereira H. ,
  • 85', Pablo Roberto , Brito R. ,
  • 87', Brito R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Menino M. , Ribeiro T. ,
  • 90+8', Geraldes A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
38%
Draw
30.6%
Casa Pia
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 29.9% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 28.9% 34.5%

Farense - Casa Pia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.49
(2.7)
3.07
(3.1)
2.96
(2.6)
6.6%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Farense - Casa Pia?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 17.8%64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 3 - 50%). Casa Pia (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Casa Pia (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Casa Pia (1.82) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Farense (votes: 4 - 40%). Casa Pia (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 1.
    • Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Casa Pia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Injury) Kluivert R. (Yellow Cards) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Farense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Casa Pia were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Casa Pia - Farense 1:1
    20.01.2024 Casa Pia - Farense 1:3
    12.08.2023 Farense - Casa Pia 0:3
    Latest results of Farense
    02.04.2025 Benfica - Farense 3:2
    15.03.2025 Farense - Braga 0:1
    08.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Farense 2:2
    02.03.2025 Farense - AVS 0:1
    23.02.2025 Arouca - Farense 2:2
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    29.03.2025 Casa Pia - Rio Ave 2:1
    09.03.2025 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 1:3
    22.02.2025 Casa Pia - Gil Vicente 1:0
    15.02.2025 Moreirense - Casa Pia 3:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto21182142:73556
    2Sporting CP21164155:124352
    3Benfica21147044:123249
    4Braga21116444:182639
    5Gil Vicente21107431:171437
    6Famalicao2195727:20732
    7Estoril2186743:35830
    8Moreirense2193927:29-230
    9Vitoria Guimaraes2184923:30-728
    10Alverca21731121:36-1524
    11Estrela2158825:37-1223
    12Arouca21651026:46-2023
    13Nacional21561027:30-321
    14Rio Ave2148922:41-1920
    15Casa Pia21471022:39-1719
    16Santa Clara21451216:26-1017
    17Tondela21351314:35-2114
    18AFS21051615:54-395

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
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