Farense vs Casa Pia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
0:0
07/04/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 28
  • Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.03
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
112
Shots on target
50
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
133
Passes
74% (252/341)77% (276/358)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.870.00
Total shots
112
Shots on target
50
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
50
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
133
Touches in opposition box
257
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
2118
Passes
74% (252/341)77% (276/358)
Long passes
50% (27/54)38% (25/65)
Passes in final third
56% (63/112)62% (56/90)
Crosses
11% (4/36)0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.600.22
Fouls
1821
Tackles
90% (18/20)73% (8/11)
Duels won
7165
Clearances Total
2945
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.000.87
Goals prevented
0.000.87

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Lucas Africo 🟨,
  • 22', Neto 🟨,
  • 43', Tchamba D. ↓, Geraldes A. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
  • 64', Njie Y. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
  • 65', Miguel Sousa ↓, Caue ↑,
  • 65', Kraev A. ↓, Mohamed I. ↑,
  • 72', Derick Poloni 🟨,
  • 81', Derick Poloni ↓, Matias M. ↑,
  • 81', Neto ↓, Soares F. ↑,
  • 85', Livolant J. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
  • 85', Pablo Roberto ↓, Brito R. ↑,
  • 87', Brito R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Menino M. ↓, Ribeiro T. ↑,
  • 90+8', Geraldes A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
38%		Draw
30.6%		Casa Pia
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 29.9% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6% 28.9% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Casa Pia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+3%)
    •

    Farense - Casa Pia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.49 ↓
    (2.7)    		 3.07 ↓
    (3.1)    		 2.96 ↑
    (2.6)    		 6.6%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Farense - Casa Pia?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Casa Pia will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 17.8% – 64.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Farense (votes: 3 - 50%). Casa Pia (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Casa Pia (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Casa Pia (1.82) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Farense (votes: 4 - 40%). Casa Pia (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 1.
    • Farense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Casa Pia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Casa Pia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Casa Pia: Kiki (Injury) Kluivert R. (Yellow Cards) Mendes C. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Farense won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Casa Pia were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Casa Pia - Farense 1:1
    20.01.2024 Casa Pia - Farense 1:3
    12.08.2023 Farense - Casa Pia 0:3
    Latest results of Farense
    02.04.2025 Benfica - Farense 3:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Farense - Braga 0:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Estoril Praia - Farense 2:2 ✺
    02.03.2025 Farense - AVS 0:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Arouca - Farense 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Casa Pia
    29.03.2025 Casa Pia - Rio Ave 2:1 ✺
    09.03.2025 Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon 1:3 ✺
    01.03.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia 1:0 ✺
    22.02.2025 Casa Pia - Gil Vicente 1:0 ✺
    15.02.2025 Moreirense - Casa Pia 3:2 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto29244159:144576
    2Sporting CP28225173:175671
    3Benfica29209061:184369
    4Braga28157655:272852
    5Famalicao29138836:251147
    6Gil Vicente291210744:301446
    7Estoril291071251:50137
    8Vitoria Guimaraes291061335:43-836
    9Moreirense291061332:41-936
    10Alverca29981232:47-1535
    11Rio Ave29891231:48-1733
    12Arouca29951537:58-2132
    13Santa Clara29771526:37-1128
    14Estrela296101333:48-1528
    15Nacional29671631:41-1025
    16Casa Pia285101328:52-2425
    17Tondela28491521:46-2521
    18AFS29191919:62-4312

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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