Result
0:1
07/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sporting TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Alysson 🟨,
- 40', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Carter A. 🟨,
- 58', Freitas A. ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
- 58', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
- 58', Carter A. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
- 69', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
- 70', Alex Pinto ↓, Dario Miranda ↑,
- 70', Menino M. ↓, Matias M. ↑,
- 79', Carlos Daniel ↓, Danilovic V. ↑,
- 80', Tejon M. ↓, Elis A. ↑,
- 81', Ruben 🟨,
- 83', Costa R. ↓, Sangare B. ↑,
- 89', Danilovic V. 🟨,
- 90+3', 0 - 1, Sangare B. ⚽,
- 90+5', Santos Junior E. A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marítimo
53.5% | Draw
27.1% | Farense
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Marítimo - Farense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.86) |
3.44 ↑
(3.28) |
4.83 ↑
(4.14) |
7.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Farense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Marítimo (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Marítimo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Marítimo will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2.
- Marítimo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Farense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Marítimo has had a series of away games.
- Marítimo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Marítimo will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Farense?
Marítimo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Farense won against Marítimo?
Farense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Farense were as follows:
31.08.2025
Farense
-
Marítimo
0:2
07.12.2022
Farense
-
Marítimo
2:0
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Farense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Torreense | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 | Leiria | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Feirense | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 30 |
| 11 | Chaves | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:21 | 4 | 30 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 28 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Oliveirense | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
