Result
3:2
09/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 4
- Referee: Vejtasa S. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (129/188) | 84% (412/489) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (129/188) | 84% (412/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (16/44) | 41% (16/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (44/77) | 74% (111/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -1.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 1 - 0, Bartosak L. ⚽,
- 24', Nombil C. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Poznar T. ⚽, Cupak M. (A),
- 44', 2 - 1, Sevcik M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Nombil C. ↓, Petruta S. ↑,
- 60', Kral T. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
- 60', John S. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
- 60', Poznar T. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Kostka D. ⚽, Klima J. (A),
- 67', 3 - 2, Koubek M. ⚽, Cernin J. (A),
- 68', Bartosak L. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
- 72', Klima J. 🟨,
- 73', Sevcik M. ↓, Penner N. ↑,
- 79', Didiba J. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
- 79', Cernin J. ↓, Kolar J. ↑,
- 82', Cupak M. 🟨,
- 84', Vojta M. ↓, Buryan J. ↑,
- 84', Lehky F. ↓, Kolarik J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zlín
34% | Draw
28.2% | Mladá Boleslav
37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-2%)
Zlín - Mladá Boleslav Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.61) |
3.31 ↓
(3.34) |
2.49 ↓
(2.59) |
7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zlín - Mladá Boleslav?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Zlín will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zlín (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Mladá Boleslav may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Haliti J.
(Health problems)
Mares D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:44. (average 1.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Mladá Boleslav?
Zlín has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Zlín?
Mladá Boleslav has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zlín - Mladá Boleslav were as follows:
31.03.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Zlín
3:2
21.10.2023
Zlín
-
Mladá Boleslav
5:9
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jablonec | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | Zlin | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Plzen | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 6 | Karvina | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Liberec | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Teplice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovacko | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
