Result
1:3
29/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 17
- Referee: Stary D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (189/264) | 82% (317/385) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (189/264) | 82% (317/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (41/75) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (59/94) | 70% (75/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (23/28) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Bartosak L. 🟨,
- 12', Krcik D. 🟨,
- 33', Didiba J. 🟨,
- 34', Cernin J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', Nombil C. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Krcik D. (Pen),
- 57', 0 - 2, Samko D. ⚽, Ayaosi E. (A),
- 63', Bartosak L. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
- 63', Cupak M. ↓, Hellebrand T. ↑,
- 63', Didiba J. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 3, Bohac S. ⚽, Ayaosi E. (A),
- 74', 1 - 3, Ulbrich T. ⚽, Koubek M. (A),
- 75', Natchkebia Z. ↓, Branecky L. ↑,
- 76', Samko D. 🟨,
- 79', Samko D. ↓, Singhateh E. ↑,
- 79', Gning A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 83', Nombil C. ↓, Poznar T. ↑,
- 90', Sigut S. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 90', Bohac S. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
- 90+2', Fukala M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ayaosi E. ↓, Valosek V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zlín
34.9% | Draw
27.2% | Karviná
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karviná, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zlín - Karviná Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.51) |
3.46 ↑
(3.13) |
2.51 ↓
(2.67) |
5.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zlín - Karviná?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Zlín will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Karviná will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 2.
- Zlín is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Karviná is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Zlín: Kopecny M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Karviná: Traore A.
(Red Card)
Vallo K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Zlín: Cernin J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Singhateh E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Karviná?
Zlín has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Zlín?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zlín - Karviná were as follows:
02.08.2025
Karviná
-
Zlín
0:1
12.05.2024
Karviná
-
Zlín
2:2
28.04.2024
Zlín
-
Karviná
0:1
22.07.2023
Karviná
-
Zlín
4:1
Latest results of Karviná
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
