Result
3:1
06/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 18
- Referee: Benes J. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (230/305) | 69% (182/263) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (230/305) | 69% (182/263) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (16/50) | 46% (33/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (43/69) | 60% (74/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Kolarik J. ⚽, Vojta M. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Ulbrich T. ⚽, Kanu S. (A),
- 38', 2 - 1, Subert M. ⚽, Prebsl F. (A),
- 41', Kanu S. 🟨,
- 42', Sevcik M. 🟨,
- 43', 3 - 1, Kostka D. ⚽, Vojta M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Koubek M. ↓, Petruta S. ↑,
- 62', Ulbrich T. ↓, Branecky L. ↑,
- 62', Kanu S. ↓, Poznar T. ↑,
- 63', Nombil C. 🟨,
- 66', Sevcik M. ↓, John S. ↑,
- 66', Matousek F. ↓, Penner N. ↑,
- 69', Natchkebia Z. ↓, Machalik D. ↑,
- 76', Subert M. ↓, Fulnek J. ↑,
- 76', Vojta M. ↓, Klima J. ↑,
- 83', Bartosak L. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
- 87', Kolarik J. ↓, Haliti J. ↑,
- 89', Prebsl F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mladá Boleslav
43.2% | Draw
28% | Zlín
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Mladá Boleslav - Zlín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↓
(2.36) |
3.34 ↓
(3.38) |
3.26 ↑
(2.78) |
6.8%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mladá Boleslav - Zlín?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Zlín will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mladá Boleslav will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 2.
- Recent performances by Mladá Boleslav have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zlín has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mladá Boleslav might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Haliti J.
(Health problems)
Kozel D.
(Injury)
Langhamer D.
(Red Card)
Pech Da.
(Inactive)
Zika J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Zlín: Cernin J.
(Yellow Cards)
Didiba J.
(Yellow Cards)
Kopecny M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 44:28. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mladá Boleslav won against Zlín?
Mladá Boleslav has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Mladá Boleslav?
Zlín has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mladá Boleslav - Zlín were as follows:
09.08.2025
Zlín
-
Mladá Boleslav
3:2
31.03.2024
Mladá Boleslav
-
Zlín
3:2
21.10.2023
Zlín
-
Mladá Boleslav
5:9
Latest results of Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
