Result
2:2
25/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 13
- Referee: Pechanec O. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (134/231) | 73% (213/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 58% (134/231) | 73% (213/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (21/77) | 49% (34/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (35/92) | 53% (49/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.45 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Didiba J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Bartosak L. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
- 46', Krapka A. ↓, Fukala M. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Koubek M. ⚽, Fukala M. (A),
- 59', 1 - 1, Patrak V. ⚽, Reznicek J. (A),
- 62', 2 - 1, Pisoja M. ⚽, Cupak M. (A),
- 67', Vecheta F. ↓, Krobot L. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Patrak V. (Pen),
- 75', Lurvink L. 🟨,
- 76', Poznar T. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
- 84', Patrak V. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
- 84', Reznicek J. ↓, Solil T. ↑,
- 84', Pisoja M. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
- 86', Sychra V. 🟨,
- 90+1', Cupak M. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
- 90+2', Tanko A. ↓, Smekal D. ↑,
- 90+2', Krobot L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zlín
45.5% | Draw
27.9% | Pardubice
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Pardubice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zlín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pardubice than the current prediction. (-3%)
Zlín - Pardubice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.9) |
3.33 ↓
(3.48) |
3.55 ↓
(3.67) |
7.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zlín - Pardubice?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Zlín will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 2.
- Zlín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pardubice is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Zlín might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Zlín: Bachurek S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Pardubice: Alijagic D.
(Convalescence)
Darmovzal D.
(Injury)
Konecny M.
(Broken ankle)
Masek D.
(Injury)
Vacek K.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Pardubice?
Zlín has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pardubice won against Zlín?
Pardubice has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zlín - Pardubice were as follows:
04.05.2024
Pardubice
-
Zlín
2:0
14.04.2024
Zlín
-
Pardubice
1:1
04.11.2023
Pardubice
-
Zlín
0:1
21.05.2023
Pardubice
-
Zlín
1:2
19.02.2023
Pardubice
-
Zlín
2:1
Latest results of Pardubice
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jablonec | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | Slavia Prague | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 27 |
| 4 | Plzen | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Zlin | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Karvina | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Liberec | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Teplice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Dukla Prague | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 13 | FK Pardubice | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:24 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Mlada Boleslav | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:31 | -12 | 10 |
| 16 | Slovacko | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
