Adanaspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor
Result
1:2
09/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 29
  • Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.03
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
137
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
41
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
1311
Offsides
11
Fouls
1113
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
3815
Touches in the Opposition Box
1616
Passes
70% (289/411)65% (222/344)
Passes in the final third
55% (89/161)59% (65/110)
Crosses
17% (4/24)36% (4/11)
Tackles
58% (7/12)71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
1942
Interceptions
612

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', Cekici E. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Djilobodji P. , Wesley Moraes (A),
  • 45+2', Durmaz E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 67', Cikalleshi S. , Ivan A. ,
  • 71', Tintis E. , Kurukalip C. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Ivan A. , Cihan M. (A),
  • 77', 1 - 2, Doh M. ,
  • 80', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
  • 83', Cekici E. , Altunbas M. ,
  • 83', Candeias D. , Cinar O. ,
  • 83', Johnson D. , Sivri A. ,
  • 83', Camacho J. , Dovedan N. ,
  • 88', Mert M. , Demirol A. ,
  • 90+6', Ciss A. , Alpsoy H. ,
  • 90+11', Serginho , Dursun S. ,
  • 90+12', Alpsoy H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Adanaspor
26.7%
Draw
28%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 26.6% 51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3% 26.6% 51.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fatih Karagümrükspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fatih Karagümrükspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (4.14)
    3.31
    (3.48)
    2.06
    (1.81)
    7.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Adanaspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • Recent matches Adanaspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Karagümrük is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Karagümrük will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adanaspor 4:0
    Latest results of Adanaspor
    02.03.2025 Adanaspor - Ankaragücü 2:0
    22.02.2025 Çorum - Adanaspor 1:1
    17.02.2025 Adanaspor - Umraniyespor 1:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erokspor961227:111619
    2Corum953115:8718
    3Bodrumspor852119:81117
    4Pendikspor843115:8715
    5Erzurumspor835015:8714
    6Igdir FK842214:11314
    7Amedspor841319:13613
    8Boluspor933315:13212
    9Vanspor FK83328:6212
    10Serik Spor83328:12-412
    11Bandirmaspor832312:10211
    12Istanbulspor AS825110:9111
    13Keciorengucu82429:8110
    14Sivasspor823310:919
    15Sakaryaspor823310:16-69
    16Manisa FK922513:19-68
    17Umraniyespor82245:11-68
    18Sariyer81166:12-64
    19Hatayspor80359:20-113
    20Adana Demirspor80174:31-27-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation