Adanaspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor
Result
1:2
09/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 29
  • Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.03
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
137
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
41
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Free Kicks
1311
Offsides
11
Fouls
1113
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
3815
Touches in the Opposition Box
1616
Passes
70% (289/411)65% (222/344)
Passes in the final third
55% (89/161)59% (65/110)
Crosses
17% (4/24)36% (4/11)
Tackles
58% (7/12)71% (10/14)
Clearances Total
1942
Interceptions
612

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', Cekici E. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Djilobodji P. , Wesley Moraes (A),
  • 45+2', Durmaz E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 67', Cikalleshi S. , Ivan A. ,
  • 71', Tintis E. , Kurukalip C. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Ivan A. , Cihan M. (A),
  • 77', 1 - 2, Doh M. ,
  • 80', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
  • 83', Cekici E. , Altunbas M. ,
  • 83', Candeias D. , Cinar O. ,
  • 83', Johnson D. , Sivri A. ,
  • 83', Camacho J. , Dovedan N. ,
  • 88', Mert M. , Demirol A. ,
  • 90+6', Ciss A. , Alpsoy H. ,
  • 90+11', Serginho , Dursun S. ,
  • 90+12', Alpsoy H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Adanaspor
26.7%
Draw
28%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.3% 26.6% 51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3% 26.6% 51.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fatih Karagümrükspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fatih Karagümrükspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.48
    (4.14)
    3.31
    (3.48)
    2.06
    (1.81)
    7.4%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Adanaspor will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • Recent matches Adanaspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Karagümrük is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Karagümrük could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Karagümrük will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adanaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    25.10.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Adanaspor 4:0
    Latest results of Adanaspor
    02.03.2025 Adanaspor - Ankaragücü 2:0
    22.02.2025 Çorum - Adanaspor 1:1
    17.02.2025 Adanaspor - Umraniyespor 1:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bodrumspor1063125:91621
    2Corum1063119:91021
    3Erokspor1062228:121620
    4Amedspor1061325:151019
    5Pendikspor1054119:91019
    6Erzurumspor1147019:10919
    7Igdir FK1053217:13418
    8Bandirmaspor1043315:12315
    9Sivasspor1135314:10414
    10Vanspor FK1035210:8214
    11Sakaryaspor1042418:20-214
    12Boluspor1034316:14213
    13Serik Spor103439:14-513
    14Istanbulspor AS1026212:12012
    15Keciorengucu1025310:12-211
    16Manisa FK1023514:20-69
    17Umraniyespor112277:18-118
    18Sariyer1021710:15-57
    19Hatayspor1104711:30-194
    20Adana Demirspor100194:40-36-17

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation