Result
2:0
21/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 17
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (360/421) | 88% (482/547) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (360/421) | 88% (482/547) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (63/93) | 57% (52/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Hwang Ui-Jo ⚽,
- 19', Karaca E. 🟨,
- 37', Hwang Ui-Jo 🟨,
- 45+1', Ruan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 0, Yalcin G. ⚽, Hwang Ui-Jo (A),
- 65', Esgaio R. 🟨,
- 68', Yalcin G. ↓, Hagi I. ↑,
- 68', Karaca E. ↓, Ogundu U. ↑,
- 82', Serginho ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 84', Hwang Ui-Jo ↓, Mogultay B. ↑,
- 87', Fofana D. D. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 87', Esgaio R. ↓, Ersoy B. ↑,
- 90+3', Ruan ↓, Yavuz B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alanyaspor 53.9% | Draw 26.2% | Fatih Karagümrükspor 19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↑ (1.7) |
3.6 ↓ (3.94) |
4.72 ↑ (4.66) |
6.3% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Alanyaspor will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 3.
- Alanyaspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Karagümrük's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alanyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Alanyaspor has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Alanyaspor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bruno Viana
(Injury)
Bulut B.
(Knee Injury)
Celik I.
(Suspended)
Elia M.
(International duty)
Keskin E.
(Suspended)
Maestro
(International duty)
Makouta G.
(Yellow Cards)
Mounie S.
(International duty)
Ozdemir Y.
(Suspended)
Ozyurt B.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Beklevic F.
(Suspended)
Johnson D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Injury)
Larsson S.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Alanyaspor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Alanyaspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
06.02.2025
Alanyaspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
4:1
25.02.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Alanyaspor
1:1
06.10.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:1
22.01.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:2
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 39:14 | 25 | 39 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 33:20 | 13 | 35 |
| 4 | Goztepe | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 21:9 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30:22 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Basaksehir | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:18 | 9 | 23 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24:30 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Genclerbirligi | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 18 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 13 | Konyaspor | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Kasimpasa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16:31 | -15 | 15 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 16:33 | -17 | 15 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:32 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig