Alanyaspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 17
  • Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.25
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
86% (360/421)88% (482/547)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.28
Total shots
119
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1713
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1619
Passes
86% (360/421)88% (482/547)
Long passes
49% (25/51)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
68% (63/93)57% (52/92)
Crosses
9% (1/11)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.260.33
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
1916
Tackles
60% (6/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3237
Clearances
2517
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.282.09
Goals prevented
0.280.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Hwang Ui-Jo ,
  • 19', Karaca E. 🟨,
  • 37', Hwang Ui-Jo 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ruan 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 0, Yalcin G. , Hwang Ui-Jo (A),
  • 65', Esgaio R. 🟨,
  • 68', Yalcin G. , Hagi I. ,
  • 68', Karaca E. , Ogundu U. ,
  • 82', Serginho , Kalayci B. ,
  • 84', Hwang Ui-Jo , Mogultay B. ,
  • 87', Fofana D. D. , Gray A. ,
  • 87', Esgaio R. , Ersoy B. ,
  • 90+3', Ruan , Yavuz B. ,

Chances of winning


Alanyaspor
53.9%
Draw
26.2%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 24% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 23.2% 19.6%

Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.75
(1.7)
3.6
(3.94)
4.72
(4.66)
6.3%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alanyaspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Alanyaspor will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 3.
    • Alanyaspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Karagümrük's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alanyaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Alanyaspor has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Alanyaspor is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bruno Viana (Injury) Bulut B. (Knee Injury) Celik I. (Suspended) Elia M. (International duty) Keskin E. (Suspended) Maestro (International duty) Makouta G. (Yellow Cards) Mounie S. (International duty) Ozdemir Y. (Suspended) Ozyurt B. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Beklevic F. (Suspended) Johnson D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Injury) Larsson S. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alanyaspor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alanyaspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    06.02.2025 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 4:1
    25.02.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Alanyaspor 1:1
    06.10.2023 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1
    22.01.2023 Alanyaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:2
    Latest results of Alanyaspor
    17.12.2025 Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor 0:1
    13.12.2025 Kayserispor - Alanyaspor 0:0
    08.12.2025 Alanyaspor - Antalyaspor 0:0
    04.12.2025 Çorum - Alanyaspor 0:5
    01.12.2025 Samsunspor - Alanyaspor 1:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray17133139:122742
    2Fenerbahce17116039:142539
    3Trabzonspor17105233:201335
    4Goztepe1795321:91232
    5Besiktas1785430:22829
    6Samsunspor1767422:20225
    7Basaksehir1765627:18923
    8Kocaelispor1765615:17-223
    9Gaziantep1765624:30-623
    10Alanyaspor1749416:15121
    11Genclerbirligi1753921:24-318
    12Rizespor1746720:24-418
    13Konyaspor1745821:29-817
    14Kasimpasa1736814:24-1015
    15Antalyaspor17431016:31-1515
    16Kayserispor1729616:33-1715
    17Eyupspor17341010:24-1413
    18Karagumruk17231214:32-189

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig