Erokspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
03/12/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Turkish Cup - Qualification - Final

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Gray A. , Johnson D. (A),
  • 12', 0 - 2, Serginho ,
  • 22', 0 - 3, Cankaya A. R. , Balkovec J. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 3, Hidayetoglu A. , Arda Ozyurt Y. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 4, Gray A. , Ozcan B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 4, Hidayetoglu A. , Genc M. (A),
  • 88', 2 - 5, Gray A. , Johnson D. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Erokspor
33%
Draw
26%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 24.9% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 24.5% 46.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fatih Karagümrükspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fatih Karagümrükspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (3.2)
    3.2
    (3.6)
    2
    (1.9)
    21.4%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Karagümrük (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Karagümrük (2.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Karagümrük (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Karagümrük (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Karagümrük (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Karagümrük (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Karagümrük (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • TQ, OT - Karagümrük (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Karagümrük (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Erokspor (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 5.3%). Karagümrük (votes: 18 - 94.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Erokspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Karagümrük has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Erokspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Karagümrük will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Erokspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1
    01.12.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Erokspor 1:0
    Latest results of Erokspor
    28.11.2025 Amed SK - Erokspor 2:1
    23.11.2025 Erokspor - Sivasspor 2:1
    09.11.2025 Erzurumspor - Erokspor 1:1
    03.11.2025 Erokspor - Çorum 3:1
    30.10.2025 Erokspor - Agrispor 3:0
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish Cup Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray44008:3512
    2Trabzonspor430113:499
    3Alanyaspor42118:447
    4Basaksehir42028:716
    5Karagumruk41215:6-15
    6Boluspor40221:6-52
    7Istanbulspor AS40222:9-72
    8Fethiyespor40131:7-61


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor440012:3912
    2Konyaspor44009:1812
    3Genclerbirligi43109:5410
    4Igdir FK41219:455
    5Eyupspor41125:6-14
    6Bodrumspor40133:7-41
    7Aliaga40135:16-111
    8Antalyaspor40040:10-100


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Besiktas431010:3710
    2Fenerbahce43019:369
    3Erzurumspor42028:806
    4Gaziantep42028:10-26
    5Kocaelispor41124:404
    6Rizespor41127:9-24
    7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:5-24
    8Keciorengucu41036:13-73


    Ranking of third-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Genclerbirligi43109:5410
    2Alanyaspor42118:447
    3Erzurumspor42028:806

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