Kayserispor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri).

Super Lig - Round 27
Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Sports 1

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.13	0.26
Ball possession
61%	39%
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
5	1
Big chances
6	0
Corner kicks
3	1
Passes
88% (459/519)	72% (237/330)
Yellow cards
2	0
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.13	0.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.50	0.15
Total shots
16	6
Shots on target
5	1
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked shots
2	1
Shots inside the box
10	3
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
6	0
Corner kicks
3	1
Touches in opposition box
24	9
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
8	21
Passes
88% (459/519)	72% (237/330)
Long passes
60% (34/57)	39% (26/67)
Passes in final third
77% (132/171)	56% (48/86)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
2.39	0.22
Throw ins
18	14
Fouls
21	8
Tackles
55% (6/11)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
31	51
Clearances
24	20
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.15	2.50
Goals prevented
0.15	1.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Kranevitter M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Soyalp F. ↓, Onugkha G. ↑,
56', Mendes J. ↓, Makarov D. ↑,
62', Kalayci B. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Onugkha G. ⚽, Cardoso M. (A),
67', Cukur T. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
75', Civelek R. ↓, Katongo J. ↑,
77', Ozcan B. ↓, Kone ↑,
77', Serginho ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
77', Mladenovic F. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
80', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
89', Chalov F. 🟨,
90+1', Cardoso M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kayserispor
45.5%

Draw
27.9%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)	3.39 ↓ (3.71)	3.57 ↓ (3.76)	5.6% (3.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 22% – 61.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Kayserispor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury) Cihan K. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Injury)
There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Inactive) Kadioglu M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Biraschi D. (Injury) Elmaz B. (Injury) Larsson S. (Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?

Kayserispor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Kayserispor?

Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:

24.10.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor 2:2

04.05.2024 Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:2

10.01.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor 4:1

30.05.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor 2:0

04.01.2023 Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:4

Latest results of Kayserispor

15.03.2026 Samsunspor - Kayserispor 2:1 ✺

09.03.2026 Kayserispor - Trabzonspor 1:3 ✺

01.03.2026 Gençlerbirliği - Kayserispor 0:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Kayserispor - Antalyaspor 1:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Göztepe - Kayserispor 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor

13.03.2026 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Fethiyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:2 ✺

27.02.2026 Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor 0:0 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	32	23	5	4	73:27	46	74
2	Fenerbahce	32	20	10	2	71:34	37	70
3	Trabzonspor	32	19	9	4	59:35	24	66
4	Besiktas	32	17	8	7	56:36	20	59
5	Goztepe	32	13	13	6	40:28	12	52
6	Basaksehir	32	14	9	9	53:34	19	51
7	Samsunspor	32	12	12	8	43:42	1	48
8	Rizespor	32	10	10	12	44:46	-2	40
9	Konyaspor	32	10	10	12	42:45	-3	40
10	Gaziantep	32	9	10	13	41:54	-13	37
11	Kocaelispor	31	9	9	13	25:35	-10	36
12	Alanyaspor	31	6	15	10	37:38	-1	33
13	Kasimpasa	31	7	10	14	29:45	-16	31
14	Genclerbirligi	31	7	7	17	30:44	-14	28
15	Eyupspor	31	7	7	17	25:44	-19	28
16	Antalyaspor	31	7	7	17	30:51	-21	28
17	Kayserispor	31	5	11	15	23:57	-34	26
18	Karagumruk	31	5	6	20	27:53	-26	21

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig