Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 30
- Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (404/497) | 76% (243/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (404/497) | 76% (243/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (35/65) | 32% (19/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (122/176) | 65% (48/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Verde D. (A),
- 33', Babicka S. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
- 39', 1 - 1, Kranevitter M. (Own goal),
- 44', 1 - 2, Legowski M. ⚽, Meras U. (A),
- 45+1', Taskin I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Verde D. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 61', Elmaz B. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
- 68', Taskin I. ↓, Pintor L. ↑,
- 78', Yasar A. 🟥,
- 80', Lucas Calegari ↓, Onguene J. ↑,
- 80', Altunbas M. ↓, Ulvan T. ↑,
- 80', Raux Yao C. ↓, Ozyurt B. ↑,
- 85', Yilmaz J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Bozok U. ↓, Sy A. K. ↑,
- 90+2', Pintor L. 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
53.2% | Draw
26.9% | Eyüpspor
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fatih Karagümrükspor's performance.Eyüpspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eyüpspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fatih Karagümrükspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eyüpspor than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eyüpspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Eyüpspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.06) |
3.52 ↑
(3.45) |
4.72 ↑
(3.5) |
5%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Eyüpspor?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 61.5% – 95.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fatih Karagümrükspor will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- Karagümrük has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Eyüpspor has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Karagümrük is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Eyüpspor: Akbaba E.
(Broken Leg)
Radu D.
(Red Card)
Rotariu D.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Eyüpspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Eyüpspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Eyüpspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Eyüpspor were as follows:
22.11.2025
Eyüpspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:1
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Eyüpspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
