Manisa FK vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish First League Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor
Result
2:2
02/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 22
  • Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1211
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
15
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
39
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
05
Free Kicks
811
Offsides
12
Fouls
118
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2922
Touches in the Opposition Box
1324
Passes
69% (294/427)73% (341/466)
Passes in the final third
59% (46/78)65% (82/127)
Crosses
50% (3/6)33% (8/24)
Tackles
80% (8/10)95% (18/19)
Clearances Total
2914
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Dani Ramirez , Diallo D. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 0, Erdem U. ,
  • 34', 2 - 1, Ulvan T. , Doh M. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 2, Doh M. , Gray A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dovedan N. , Serginho ,
  • 56', Erdem U. 🟨,
  • 57', Gurpuz G. , Mert M. ,
  • 65', Kiprit M. , Minchev G. ,
  • 73', Arik K. , Kahya K. C. ,
  • 73', Yilmaz B. , Gocmen B. ,
  • 74', Gurdal O. , Talum Y. ,
  • 78', Diallo D. 🟨,
  • 84', Erdem U. , Fofana M. ,
  • 90+1', Camacho J. , Sivri A. ,
  • 90+2', Gray A. , Demiroglu B. ,
  • 90+3', Dani Ramirez 🟥,
  • 90+4', Akgun E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manisa FK
29.2%
Draw
28.8%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27.5% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 27.4% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manisa FK's form might have worsened.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fatih Karagümrükspor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manisa FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (2.59)
    3.21
    (3.36)
    2.22
    (2.51)
    7.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • Recent matches Manisa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Karagümrük is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Karagümrük could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Manisa: Cissokho M. (Yellow Cards) Yurdakul K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Johnson D. (Red Card) Wesley Moraes (Red Card)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Manisa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Manisa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK 0:2
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    27.01.2025 Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK 1:2
    19.01.2025 Manisa FK - İstanbulspor 0:1
    13.01.2025 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 0:3
    05.01.2025 Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK 2:3
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corum33007:169
    2Vanspor FK22004:226
    3Erzurumspor21104:224
    4Pendikspor21103:124
    5Keciorengucu21103:124
    6Sakaryaspor21104:314
    7Serik Spor21101:014
    8Igdir FK21014:403
    9Manisa FK21013:303
    10Umraniyespor21012:203
    11Bodrumspor20202:202
    12Istanbulspor AS20200:002
    13Boluspor20113:4-11
    14Erokspor20112:3-11
    15Sariyer30123:5-21
    16Amedspor20112:4-21
    17Sivasspor20111:3-21
    18Bandirmaspor20111:3-21
    19Hatayspor20022:5-30
    20Adana Demirspor20112:5-3-5

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation