Manisa FK vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
02/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 22
  • Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
1211
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
44
Blocked Shots
15
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
39
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Goalkeeper Saves
05
Free Kicks
811
Offsides
12
Fouls
118
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Throw-ins
2922
Touches in the Opposition Box
1324
Passes
69% (294/427)73% (341/466)
Passes in the final third
59% (46/78)65% (82/127)
Crosses
50% (3/6)33% (8/24)
Tackles
80% (8/10)95% (18/19)
Clearances Total
2914
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Dani Ramirez , Diallo D. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 0, Erdem U. ,
  • 34', 2 - 1, Ulvan T. , Doh M. (A),
  • 38', 2 - 2, Doh M. , Gray A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dovedan N. , Serginho ,
  • 56', Erdem U. 🟨,
  • 57', Gurpuz G. , Mert M. ,
  • 65', Kiprit M. , Minchev G. ,
  • 73', Arik K. , Kahya K. C. ,
  • 73', Yilmaz B. , Gocmen B. ,
  • 74', Gurdal O. , Talum Y. ,
  • 78', Diallo D. 🟨,
  • 84', Erdem U. , Fofana M. ,
  • 90+1', Camacho J. , Sivri A. ,
  • 90+2', Gray A. , Demiroglu B. ,
  • 90+3', Dani Ramirez 🟥,
  • 90+4', Akgun E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manisa FK
29.2%
Draw
28.8%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 27.5% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 27.4% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manisa FK's form might have worsened.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fatih Karagümrükspor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manisa FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (2.59)
    3.21
    (3.36)
    2.22
    (2.51)
    7.4%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
    • Recent matches Manisa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Karagümrük is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Karagümrük could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Manisa: Cissokho M. (Yellow Cards) Yurdakul K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Johnson D. (Red Card) Wesley Moraes (Red Card)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Manisa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Manisa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Manisa FK 0:2
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    27.01.2025 Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK 1:2
    19.01.2025 Manisa FK - İstanbulspor 0:1
    13.01.2025 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 0:3
    05.01.2025 Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK 2:3
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to