Peniche vs Fatima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
93
Corner kicks
67
Total shots
135
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 66', 1 - 0, ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Peniche
38.7%
Draw
31.8%
Fatima
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 30% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 28.5% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peniche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Fatima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatima than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Peniche - Fatima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.2)
    2.86
    (3)
    3.08
    (3.1)
    10%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 10 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Peniche could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peniche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - Fatima were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Fatima - Peniche 3:1
    02.02.2025 Peniche - Fatima 0:1
    15.09.2024 Fatima - Peniche 0:1
    Latest results of Peniche
    25.01.2026 Peniche - Lajense 2:2
    10.01.2026 Marinhense - Peniche 0:0
    21.12.2025 SC Lusitânia - Peniche 1:1
    14.12.2025 Peniche - União da Serra 3:2
    Latest results of Fatima
    25.01.2026 Marinhense - Fatima 2:1
    18.01.2026 Fatima - SC Lusitânia 2:0
    10.01.2026 União da Serra - Fatima 0:0
    21.12.2025 SB Castelo Branco - Fatima 1:0
    14.12.2025 Fatima - Eléctrico 0:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18932095627:21632
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1857613:21-822
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

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