Peniche vs SC Lusitânia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
18/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
124
Corner kicks
63
Total shots
188
Shots on target
124
Shots off target
64
Corner kicks
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 33', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45', 2 - 0, ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 3 - 1, ,
  • 66', 4 - 1, ,
  • 71', 5 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Peniche
65.3%
Draw
21.9%
SC Lusitânia
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64% 22% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 20.9% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peniche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peniche than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Peniche - SC Lusitânia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.42)
    4.12
    (4.13)
    6.99
    (6.54)
    11%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).
    • SC Lusitânia is Relegated to
    • Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
    • In this match, Peniche is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Peniche won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peniche - SC Lusitânia were as follows:
    21.12.2025 SC Lusitânia - Peniche 1:1
    03.03.2024 Peniche - SC Lusitânia 1:4
    19.11.2023 SC Lusitânia - Peniche 1:0
    Latest results of Peniche
    12.04.2026 União da Serra - Peniche 3:1
    29.03.2026 Samora Correia - Peniche 5:2
    22.03.2026 Eléctrico - Peniche 4:2
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache26167333:122155
    2Oliveira Hospital26148439:132650
    3Naval 189326146636:231348
    4SB Castelo Branco26144843:261746
    5Uniao Da Serra26128638:271144
    6Mortagua26116923:26-339
    7Os Marialvas261061033:28536
    8Fatima26881027:29-232
    9Lajense26881037:37032
    10Peniche26861234:43-930
    11Samora Correia26851327:35-829
    12Marinhense26591220:38-1824
    13Electrico26541733:62-2919
    14SC Lusitania26451724:48-2417

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