Result
0:0
01/08/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 3
- Referee: Quiroz J. C. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (243/319) | 68% (224/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (243/319) | 68% (224/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (26/62) | 41% (37/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (78/123) | 56% (55/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Cuesta B. 🟨,
- 16:03, (Pen),
- 44', Olmedo L. 🟨,
- 45', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Illanes F. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
- 60', Perez M. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 61', Martinez T. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
- 74', Vasquez C. ↓, Gordillo A. ↑,
- 74', Lazo M. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 74', Bordacahar C. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 80', Vidales J. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 82', Olmedo L. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
- 82', Benincasa H. ↓, Espinosa R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alianza Atlético
39.8% | Draw
29.9% | FBC Melgar
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.33) |
3.13 ↓
(3.45) |
3.06 ↑
(2.85) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against FBC Melgar?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Alianza Atlético?
FBC Melgar has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - FBC Melgar were as follows:
23.02.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Atlético
2:1
25.07.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
FBC Melgar
3:1
10.02.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Atlético
1:0
15.09.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Alianza Atlético
4:0
24.04.2023
Alianza Atlético
-
FBC Melgar
3:3
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Cusco | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Binacional | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
