Result
1:3
04/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (488/547) | 81% (262/325) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (488/547) | 81% (262/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (25/44) | 54% (37/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (123/158) | 70% (49/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Carabajal G. ⚽,
- 4', 0 - 2, Callejo F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 20', Ruidias M. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 2, Jesus Alcantar ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bernaola G. ↓, Erustes P. ↑,
- 46', Manzaneda J. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
- 46', Carabajal G. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
- 56', Ramos A. ↓, Zegarra M. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 3, Callejo F. ⚽, Bolivar J. (A),
- 72', Guzman L. ↓, Caceres J. ↑,
- 73', Diaz P. 🟨,
- 74', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 74', Callejo F. 🟨,
- 77', Colitto L. ↓, Colman I. ↑,
- 80', Tandazo W. 🟨,
- 81', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 81', Vidales J. ↓, De Santis J. ↑,
- 82', Lazo M. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 85', Cuesta B. 🟥,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
49.3% | Draw
27.4% | Cusco
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
FBC Melgar - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.75) |
3.41 ↓
(3.51) |
4.07 ↓
(4.41) |
6.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Cusco?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
- Recent form of Melgar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cusco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melgar is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Cusco?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against FBC Melgar?
Cusco has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Cusco were as follows:
27.07.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Cusco
0:2
14.02.2025
Cusco
-
FBC Melgar
0:1
14.07.2024
Cusco
-
FBC Melgar
0:3
26.01.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Cusco
2:3
19.08.2023
Cusco
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
