Result
0:2
27/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 1.44 |
Ball Possession |
---|
47% | 53% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
84% (347/414) | 87% (427/491) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.84 | 1.44 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.35 | 3.37 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
84% (347/414) | 87% (427/491) |
Long passes |
---|
70% (38/54) | 50% (26/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (97/130) | 66% (59/89) |
Crosses |
---|
14% (5/37) | 31% (8/26) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.71 | 0.47 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (9/13) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 40 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.37 | 0.35 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.37 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Fuentes A. ⚽,
- 40', Tandazo W. 🟨,
- 45+3', Orzan H. 🟨,
- 45+3', Cuesta B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, Callejo F. ⚽,
- 56', Cabanillas N. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
- 70', Bordacahar C. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 70', Deneumostier A. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 75', Da Silva P. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 75', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 75', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 77', Martinez T. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 77', Tandazo W. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 87', Silva N. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 90+2', Colman I. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar 56.1% | Draw 25.3% | Cusco 18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
FBC Melgar - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.65 ↓ (1.71) |
3.71 ↑ (3.68) |
5.06 ↑ (4.82) |
7.2% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Cusco?
Users Predictions:
FBC Melgar will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
- Melgar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cusco is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Melgar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Melgar is the team to beat.
- There are questionable in Cusco: Ruidias M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Cusco?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against FBC Melgar?
Cusco has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Cusco were as follows:
14.02.2025
Cusco
-
FBC Melgar
0:1
14.07.2024
Cusco
-
FBC Melgar
0:3
26.01.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Cusco
2:3
19.08.2023
Cusco
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
01.04.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Cusco
1:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cusco | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
2 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 9 |
3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
5 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
6 | Alianza Lima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
7 | FBC Melgar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
8 | Ayacucho | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
9 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
10 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Alianza Huanuco | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Grau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Juan Pablo II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
14 | Los Chankas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
15 | AD Tarma | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
16 | Cienciano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Cajamarca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Binacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Comerciantes Unidos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
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