Result
0:2
27/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/414) | 87% (427/491) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 3.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (347/414) | 87% (427/491) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (38/54) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (97/130) | 66% (59/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/37) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.37 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Fuentes A. ⚽,
- 40', Tandazo W. 🟨,
- 45+3', Orzan H. 🟨,
- 45+3', Cuesta B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 2, Callejo F. ⚽,
- 56', Cabanillas N. ↓, Quagliata N. ↑,
- 70', Bordacahar C. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 70', Deneumostier A. ↓, Ramos E. ↑,
- 75', Da Silva P. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 75', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 75', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 77', Martinez T. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 77', Tandazo W. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 87', Silva N. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 90+2', Colman I. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
56.1% | Draw
25.3% | Cusco
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
FBC Melgar - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.71) |
3.71 ↑
(3.68) |
5.06 ↑
(4.82) |
7.2%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for FBC Melgar - Cusco?
Users Predictions:
FBC Melgar will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 2.
- Melgar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cusco is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Melgar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Melgar is the team to beat.
- There are questionable in Cusco: Ruidias M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Cusco?
FBC Melgar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against FBC Melgar?
Cusco has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Cusco were as follows:
14.02.2025
Cusco
-
FBC Melgar
0:1
14.07.2024
Cusco
-
FBC Melgar
0:3
26.01.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Cusco
2:3
19.08.2023
Cusco
-
FBC Melgar
1:1
01.04.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Cusco
1:1
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Los Chankas | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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