Result
18/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
33.9% | Draw
27.2% | FBC Melgar
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Deportivo Garcilaso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↓
(2.77) |
3.42 ↓
(3.44) |
2.4 ↓
(2.42) |
7.4%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- Deportivo Garcilaso is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melgar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Melgar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against FBC Melgar?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar were as follows:
18.04.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:2
03.11.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
25.05.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
FBC Melgar
1:3
01.07.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
15.05.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:4
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 14 |
| 4 | Cusco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Los Chankas | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 7 | Alianza Huanuco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 8 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Grau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Ayacucho | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
