Deportivo Garcilaso vs FBC Melgar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar
Result
1:1
18/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
peruPeruLiga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.01
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
618
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
74% (230/311)86% (475/553)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.260.58
Total shots
618
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
29
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
843
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
74% (230/311)86% (475/553)
Long passes
42% (30/72)63% (35/56)
Passes in final third
50% (38/76)76% (153/201)
Crosses
0% (0/7)37% (11/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.171.82
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1212
Tackles
73% (16/22)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4744
Clearances
4015
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.580.26
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Arancibia F. , Celi Y. (A),
  • 32', Orzan H. 🟨,
  • 37', Llontop M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arias A. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 46', Llontop M. , Martinez T. ,
  • 50', Arancibia F. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Lazo M. ,
  • 64', Celi Y. , Paucar E. ,
  • 64', Naya E. , Bazan J. ,
  • 64', Quagliata N. , Guzman L. ,
  • 71', Cuesta B. , Liza P. ,
  • 77', Arancibia F. , Garrafa Tapia I. A. ,
  • 77', Gomez N. , Moreno X. ,
  • 81', Garrafa Tapia I. A. 🟨,
  • 81', Sandoval K. , Sinisterra J. ,
  • 82', D'Arrigo J. , Cabanillas N. ,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Garcilaso
35.6%
Draw
29.1%
FBC Melgar
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 27.3% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 28.7% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.77)
    3.36
    (3.44)
    2.83
    (2.42)
    2.1%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar?
  • Users Predictions: FBC Melgar will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 12).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Melgar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Beltran C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Melgar: Tandazo W. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Melgar: Deneumostier A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar were as follows:
    18.04.2025 FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:2
    03.11.2024 FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:1
    25.05.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar 1:3
    01.07.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar 2:2
    15.05.2023 FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:4
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes15123028:101839
    2Cusco1382321:12926
    3Alianza Lima1473423:16724
    4FBC Melgar1666422:15724
    5Sporting Cristal1464421:101122
    6Comerciantes Unidos1464416:17-122
    7Cienciano1463520:17321
    8AD Tarma1463518:19-121
    9Deportivo Garcilaso1556419:21-221
    10Los Chankas1370616:24-821
    11Alianza Atl1444611:10116
    12Grau1343616:17-115
    13Sport Huancayo1543824:26-215
    14Sport Boys1443712:19-715
    15Ayacucho1442815:23-814
    16Alianza Huanuco1441917:29-1213
    17Cajamarca1433814:20-612
    18Juan Pablo II142579:17-811
    19Binacional00000:000

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