FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Garcilaso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso
Result
1:2
18/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.41
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
88% (382/435)73% (158/217)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.41
xG on target (xGOT)
2.012.14
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2422
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
109
Passes
88% (382/435)73% (158/217)
Long passes
60% (30/50)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
73% (94/129)67% (64/95)
Crosses
11% (2/18)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.90
Fouls
910
Tackles
57% (4/7)80% (12/15)
Duels won
2839
Clearances Total
1920
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
2.142.01
Goals prevented
0.141.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Salazar A. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Lazo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Paucar E. , Naya E. ,
  • 54', Bordacahar C. , Tandazo W. ,
  • 63', Guzman L. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Erustes P. (Pen),
  • 70', Erustes P. , Celi Y. ,
  • 71', Canales E. 🟨,
  • 72', Castro F. , Liza P. ,
  • 72', Martinez T. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Lojas J. , Sandoval K. (A),
  • 76', Salazar A. 🟨,
  • 79', Sandoval K. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 79', Ugarriza A. , Moreno X. ,
  • 81', Arias A. , Vivanco P. ,
  • 84', Barrios P. 🟨,
  • 90', Gonzalez L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


FBC Melgar
62.2%
Draw
23.8%
Deportivo Garcilaso
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 25.8% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4% 28.2% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.62)
    3.95
    (3.65)
    6.6
    (5.78)
    6.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 3).
    • Recent matches Melgar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Deportivo Garcilaso is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Melgar is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Melgar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
    03.11.2024 FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso 1:1
    25.05.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar 1:3
    01.07.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar 2:2
    15.05.2023 FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso 2:4
    Latest results of FBC Melgar
    09.04.2025 Lanús - FBC Melgar 3:0
    05.04.2025 FBC Melgar - ADT Tarma 4:0
    02.04.2025 FBC Melgar - Vasco da Gama 3:3
    27.03.2025 Ayacucho - FBC Melgar 2:3
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes ✔ 18123338:122639
    2Alianza Lima18114323:111237
    3Alianza Atl18111628:181034
    4Sporting Cristal18102631:24732
    5Cusco1794431:201131
    6FBC Melgar1887328:20831
    7Sport Huancayo1793523:18530
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1883728:19927
    9AD Tarma1866624:30-624
    10Cienciano1758429:24523
    11Los Chankas1858524:25-123
    12Grau1857623:24-122
    13Sport Boys1855826:28-220
    14Cajamarca1854917:34-1719
    15Binacional1846820:33-1318
    16Juan Pablo II1744919:28-916
    17Ayacucho17331113:27-1412
    18Comerciantes Unidos18251117:31-1411
    19Alianza Huanuco17251016:32-1611

          Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    U. de Deportes is Qualified for Liga 1 (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
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