Result
1:2
18/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (382/435) | 73% (158/217) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (382/435) | 73% (158/217) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (30/50) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (94/129) | 67% (64/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.90 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 39 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 2.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Lazo M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Paucar E. ↓, Naya E. ↑,
- 54', Bordacahar C. ↓, Tandazo W. ↑,
- 63', Guzman L. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 1, Erustes P. (Pen),
- 70', Erustes P. ↓, Celi Y. ↑,
- 71', Canales E. 🟨,
- 72', Castro F. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 72', Martinez T. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Lojas J. ⚽, Sandoval K. (A),
- 76', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 79', Sandoval K. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 79', Ugarriza A. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 81', Arias A. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
- 84', Barrios P. 🟨,
- 90', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
FBC Melgar
62.2% | Draw
23.8% | Deportivo Garcilaso
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.62) |
3.95 ↑
(3.65) |
6.6 ↑
(5.78) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 3).
- Recent matches Melgar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Deportivo Garcilaso is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Melgar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Melgar is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Melgar: Cuesta B.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Melgar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 2:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against FBC Melgar?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso were as follows:
03.11.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
25.05.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
FBC Melgar
1:3
01.07.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
15.05.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:4
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 17 |
| 2 | Cusco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Los Chankas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Alianza Huanuco | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 | Binacional | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Grau | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
