Result
1:1
18/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (230/311) | 86% (475/553) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (230/311) | 86% (475/553) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (30/72) | 63% (35/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (38/76) | 76% (153/201) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 37% (11/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Arancibia F. ⚽, Celi Y. (A),
- 32', Orzan H. 🟨,
- 37', Llontop M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Arias A. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 46', Llontop M. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
- 50', Arancibia F. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Lazo M. ⚽,
- 64', Celi Y. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
- 64', Naya E. ↓, Bazan J. ↑,
- 64', Quagliata N. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 71', Cuesta B. ↓, Liza P. ↑,
- 77', Arancibia F. ↓, Garrafa Tapia I. A. ↑,
- 77', Gomez N. ↓, Moreno X. ↑,
- 81', Garrafa Tapia I. A. 🟨,
- 81', Sandoval K. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 82', D'Arrigo J. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Garcilaso
35.6% | Draw
29.1% | FBC Melgar
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FBC Melgar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↓
(2.77) |
3.36 ↓
(3.44) |
2.83 ↑
(2.42) |
2.1%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
FBC Melgar will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 and 12).
- Deportivo Garcilaso is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melgar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Deportivo Garcilaso: Beltran C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Melgar: Tandazo W.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Arancibia F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Melgar: Deneumostier A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Garcilaso won against FBC Melgar?
Deportivo Garcilaso has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Deportivo Garcilaso?
FBC Melgar has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Garcilaso - FBC Melgar were as follows:
18.04.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:2
03.11.2024
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
1:1
25.05.2024
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
FBC Melgar
1:3
01.07.2023
Deportivo Garcilaso
-
FBC Melgar
2:2
15.05.2023
FBC Melgar
-
Deportivo Garcilaso
2:4
Latest results of Deportivo Garcilaso
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 20:8 | 12 | 27 |
| 2 | Cusco | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Los Chankas | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 14 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Alianza Atl | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:6 | 0 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
| 17 | Alianza Huanuco | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
