Result
3:0
27/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (529/582) | 80% (316/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (529/582) | 80% (316/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 57% (39/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (76/95) | 66% (80/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Rayan ⚽, Coutinho (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Paulo Henrique ⚽,
- 37', Jair 🟨,
- 44', 3 - 0, Vegetti P. ⚽, Tche Tche (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Martinez T. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
- 62', Rodriguez G. ↓, Vivanco P. ↑,
- 64', Coutinho ↓, Garre B. ↑,
- 74', Tche Tche ↓, Adson ↑,
- 74', Moreira N. ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
- 75', Rayan ↓, Alex Teixeira ↑,
- 79', Lazo M. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
- 79', Llontop M. ↓, Cabanillas N. ↑,
- 80', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
- 83', Vivanco P. 🟨,
- 84', Paulo Henrique ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vasco da Gama
67% | Draw
21.6% | FBC Melgar
11.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.47) |
4.34 ↑
(4.19) |
8.3 ↑
(6.7) |
6.5%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Melgar will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Melgar (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vasco is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Vasco da Gama won against FBC Melgar?
Vasco da Gama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FBC Melgar won against Vasco da Gama?
FBC Melgar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - FBC Melgar were as follows:
02.04.2025
FBC Melgar
-
Vasco da Gama
3:3
Latest results of Vasco da Gama
Latest results of FBC Melgar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
