St. Louis City vs FC Dallas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.450.36
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
434
Shots on target
152
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
167
Passes
90% (431/480)67% (174/258)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.450.36
xG on target (xGOT)
4.030.89
Total shots
434
Shots on target
152
Shots off target
140
Blocked Shots
142
Shots inside the Box
353
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
167
Touches in opposition box
6612
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
138
Passes
90% (431/480)67% (174/258)
Long passes
65% (28/43)34% (24/71)
Passes in final third
89% (213/238)47% (37/79)
Crosses
39% (24/61)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
3.420.72
Throw-ins
1711
Fouls
1013
Tackles
40% (6/15)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5347
Clearances
2143
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
114
xGOT faced
0.894.03
Goals prevented
-0.113.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Collodi M. 🟥,
  • 19', Kaick , Jackson J. ,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Pompeu C. , Lowen E. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Musa P. , Cappis C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Delgado P. 🟨,
  • 68', Delgado P. , Lletget S. ,
  • 68', Julio Santos A. A. , Ibeagha S. ,
  • 69', Becher S. , McSorley B. ,
  • 75', Padelford D. , Totland T. ,
  • 75', Pompeu C. , Ostrak T. ,
  • 86', Musa P. , Farrington L. ,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
46.7%
Draw
24.2%
FC Dallas
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 22.5% 25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 23.2% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Louis City's form might have worsened.
  • FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Louis City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • St. Louis City - FC Dallas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.83)
    3.9
    (4.22)
    3.27
    (3.72)
    5.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - FC Dallas?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Dallas will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 17%68.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 2 - 50%). Dallas (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2.
    • St. Louis City is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Dallas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • St. Louis City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Dallas has had a series of home games.
    • St. Louis City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Jeong S. (Inactive) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Paes M. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - FC Dallas were as follows:
    19.07.2025 FC Dallas - St. Louis City 3:0
    27.07.2024 St. Louis City - FC Dallas 2:1
    15.06.2024 FC Dallas - St. Louis City 2:0
    06.04.2024 St. Louis City - FC Dallas 0:0
    30.08.2023 St. Louis City - FC Dallas 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of FC Dallas
    23.08.2025 FC Dallas - Los Angeles 1:1
    16.08.2025 Austin FC - FC Dallas 1:1
    25.07.2025 FC Dallas - New York City 3:4
    19.07.2025 FC Dallas - St. Louis City 3:0
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

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