Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Dujic F. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | Apple TV International |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
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| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
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| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
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| 78% (275/351) | 82% (414/507) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.36 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.66 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 20 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
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| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
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| 78% (275/351) | 82% (414/507) |
| Long passes |
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| 40% (21/53) | 51% (28/55) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 63% (62/98) | 71% (98/138) |
| Crosses |
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| 28% (5/18) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
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| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
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| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
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| 58% (7/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
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| 39 | 48 |
| Clearances |
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| 28 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
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| 15 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.88 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.88 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Cordova S. 🟨,
- 35', Ramiro ↓, Kaick ↑,
- 39', Urhoghide O. 🟨,
- 40', Cappis C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 1 - 0, Deedson L. ⚽, Musa P. (A),
- 58', Collodi M. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Baumgartl T. ⚽, Edelman D. (A),
- 67', Deedson L. ↓, Johansson H. ↑,
- 67', Delgado P. ↓, Valiente J. ↑,
- 67', Farrington L. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
- 76', Cordova S. ↓, Teuchert C. ↑,
- 76', Orozco J. ↓, MacNaughton L. ↑,
- 83', Cappis C. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
- 89', Rafael Santos ↓, Totland T. ↑,
- 89', Edelman D. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 90+5', Becher S. ↓, McSorley B. ↑,
Chances of winning
FC Dallas 45.5% | Draw 25.1% | St. Louis City 29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Dallas's form might have worsened.St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Dallas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Louis City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
FC Dallas - St. Louis City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.08 ↑ (1.83) |
3.76 ↓ (3.77) |
3.24 ↓ (3.77) |
5.5% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for FC Dallas - St. Louis City?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). St. Louis City will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 46.4% – 99%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Dallas (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
- Dallas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- St. Louis City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dallas could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Julio Santos A. A.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dallas: Starnes S.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 2.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has FC Dallas won against St. Louis City?
FC Dallas has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against FC Dallas?
St. Louis City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between FC Dallas - St. Louis City were as follows:
06.09.2025
St. Louis City
-
FC Dallas
1:1
19.07.2025
FC Dallas
-
St. Louis City
3:0
27.07.2024
St. Louis City
-
FC Dallas
2:1
15.06.2024
FC Dallas
-
St. Louis City
2:0
06.04.2024
St. Louis City
-
FC Dallas
0:0
Latest results of FC Dallas
Latest results of St. Louis City
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:2 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 13 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | San Diego FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 4 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | New York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Toronto FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | DC United | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:24 | -18 | 4 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Union | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)