MVV Maastricht vs FC Eindhoven – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 10
  • Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.34
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
83% (381/457)82% (326/397)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.651.29
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
49
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2216
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
83% (381/457)82% (326/397)
Long passes
53% (25/47)56% (33/59)
Passes in final third
70% (87/125)63% (67/106)
Crosses
29% (4/14)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.26
Throw-ins
2414
Fouls
1212
Tackles
67% (6/9)63% (10/16)
Duels won
3940
Clearances
2434
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.291.65
Goals prevented
0.29-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Silva Timas I. , Camil Mmaee (A),
  • 13', 2 - 0, de Moes S. (Own goal),
  • 44', Camil Mmaee 🟨,
  • 45', Van Dessel S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Lukoki Mateso E. , Mununga T. ,
  • 66', Kuipers M. , Braken S. ,
  • 66', Tran L. M. , Sy K. ,
  • 66', Essers C. , Renfrum O. ,
  • 66', Dorenbosch D. , Bryson A. ,
  • 67', Breugelmans I. 🟨,
  • 73', Bryson A. 🟨,
  • 75', de Moes S. , van de Wetering M. ,
  • 83', Van Dessel S. , Kleinen M. ,
  • 83', Breugelmans I. , Zaian A. ,
  • 86', Huisman D. , van Veen K. ,
  • 88', Silva Timas I. , Verheijen T. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 0, Verheijen T. , Klaasen R. (A),
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Janga R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


MVV Maastricht
60.7%
Draw
22.8%
FC Eindhoven
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 24.4% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 23.8% 38.8%

MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.88
(2.45)
5.27
(3.8)
7.59
(2.45)
-14.7%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maastricht: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 3.
    • Recent form of Maastricht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • FC Eindhoven is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Maastricht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in FC Eindhoven: Brondeel J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven were as follows:
    14.02.2025 MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven 2:0
    17.11.2024 FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht 1:1
    26.01.2024 FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht 0:3
    02.10.2023 MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven 0:1
    31.03.2023 MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven 3:2
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    29.09.2025 Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 2:2
    26.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:0
    21.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 1:0
    16.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Den Bosch 2:4
    12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1
    Latest results of FC Eindhoven
    30.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - Dordrecht 2:2
    19.09.2025 FC Eindhoven - FC Oss 3:4
    15.09.2025 Almere City - FC Eindhoven 5:0
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag17151149:153446
    2Cambuur18115239:211838
    3Den Bosch1892737:36129
    4Jong PSV1784534:30428
    5Roda1776428:24427
    6Waalwijk1775528:26226
    7Willem II1875623:27-426
    8De Graafschap1674530:25525
    9FC Emmen1874732:32025
    10Dordrecht1866622:22024
    11Almere City1872935:29623
    12Helmond1872924:26-223
    13Jong Utrecht1865726:30-423
    14Venlo18701122:28-621
    15Oss1847721:30-919
    16Eindhoven FC1753918:34-1618
    17Jong AZ18521126:34-817
    18Maastricht17431019:33-1415
    19Vitesse1564528:26210
    20Jong Ajax17161022:35-139

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