Result
3:1
03/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 10
- Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (381/457) | 82% (326/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (381/457) | 82% (326/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 56% (33/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (87/125) | 63% (67/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Silva Timas I. ⚽, Camil Mmaee (A),
- 13', 2 - 0, de Moes S. (Own goal),
- 44', Camil Mmaee 🟨,
- 45', Van Dessel S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lukoki Mateso E. ↓, Mununga T. ↑,
- 66', Kuipers M. ↓, Braken S. ↑,
- 66', Tran L. M. ↓, Sy K. ↑,
- 66', Essers C. ↓, Renfrum O. ↑,
- 66', Dorenbosch D. ↓, Bryson A. ↑,
- 67', Breugelmans I. 🟨,
- 73', Bryson A. 🟨,
- 75', de Moes S. ↓, van de Wetering M. ↑,
- 83', Van Dessel S. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
- 83', Breugelmans I. ↓, Zaian A. ↑,
- 86', Huisman D. ↓, van Veen K. ↑,
- 88', Silva Timas I. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Verheijen T. ⚽, Klaasen R. (A),
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Janga R. (Pen),
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
60.7% | Draw
22.8% | FC Eindhoven
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MVV Maastricht's performance.FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FC Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-23.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MVV Maastricht that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+22.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FC Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.45) |
5.27 ↑
(3.8) |
7.59 ↑
(2.45) |
-14.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maastricht: 16.1% – 74.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 3.
- Recent form of Maastricht has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- FC Eindhoven is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Maastricht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in FC Eindhoven: Brondeel J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against FC Eindhoven?
MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has FC Eindhoven won against MVV Maastricht?
FC Eindhoven has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - FC Eindhoven were as follows:
14.02.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
FC Eindhoven
2:0
17.11.2024
FC Eindhoven
-
MVV Maastricht
1:1
26.01.2024
FC Eindhoven
-
MVV Maastricht
0:3
02.10.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
FC Eindhoven
0:1
31.03.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
FC Eindhoven
3:2
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 30:7 | 23 | 28 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Roda | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Willem II | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 6 | Den Bosch | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:25 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Helmond | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Venlo | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Waalwijk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | De Graafschap | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Emmen | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Oss | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Almere City | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 17 | Eindhoven FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:26 | -17 | 11 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 8 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
