MVV Maastricht vs Helmond Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
10/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 36
  • Referee: Shukrula S. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.690.51
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
12
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
16
Passes
80% (243/304)87% (412/474)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.690.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.120.06
Total shots
810
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
15
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
913
Passes
80% (243/304)87% (412/474)
Long passes
49% (26/53)72% (42/58)
Passes in final third
65% (44/68)71% (77/109)
Crosses
23% (3/13)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.55
Throw ins
1912
Fouls
139
Tackles
67% (8/12)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3534
Clearances
2013
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.060.12
Goals prevented
0.060.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Asante D. , Verheijen T. ,
  • 65', Beydts A. , Sy K. ,
  • 66', Geerts J. , Lukowicz M. ,
  • 69', Sy K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


MVV Maastricht
36.3%
Draw
26%
Helmond Sport
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 25.5% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 24.7% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.5)
    3.57
    (3.6)
    2.47
    (2.43)
    7.5%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Helmond Sport will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maastricht: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 3.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Helmond Sport: Poll T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:26. (average 2.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 2:4
    07.03.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 4:0
    27.10.2024 MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport 1:2
    05.04.2024 MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport 3:0
    08.12.2023 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 1:2
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    06.04.2026 Helmond Sport - Waalwijk 2:2
    20.03.2026 Roda - Helmond Sport 1:1
    16.03.2026 Helmond Sport - Cambuur 0:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

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