Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', Ktatau 🟨,
- 34', Martins H. 🟨,
- 35', Berna ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 0, Lucas Duarte ⚽, Landinho (A),
- 45+3', Alves R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Simoes T. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
- 46', Muscat Z. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 46', Martins H. ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
- 56', Santos Teixeira L. 🟨,
- 56', Landinho 🟨,
- 66', Reinaldo 🟨,
- 69', Joao Teixeira ↓, Esajas R. ↑,
- 71', Pinho P. ↓, Kiko ↑,
- 71', Kusso D. ↓, Carraca ↑,
- 72', Kiko 🟨,
- 73', Lucas Duarte ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 75', Rosas P. 🟨,
- 76', Eiro 🟨,
- 84', Leite T. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 90+7', Felipe Scheibig 🟨,
- 90+9', (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Felgueiras
44.2% | Draw
29.4% | Chaves
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felgueiras's performance.Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Felgueiras that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Felgueiras - Chaves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.4) |
3.15 ↓
(3.18) |
3.5 ↑
(2.95) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Felgueiras - Chaves?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Felgueiras: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Felgueiras (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Felgueiras (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Felgueiras (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).
- Felgueiras has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Chaves has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Felgueiras will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Felgueiras won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Chaves?
Felgueiras has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chaves won against Felgueiras?
Chaves has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felgueiras - Chaves were as follows:
22.08.2025
Chaves
-
Felgueiras
1:1
15.02.2025
Chaves
-
Felgueiras
2:0
14.09.2024
Felgueiras
-
Chaves
1:2
20.07.2024
Felgueiras
-
Chaves
1:0
Latest results of Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
