Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Filipe L. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Butzke A. ⚽,
- 39', Lucas Duarte 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Freitas A. ↓, Andrade R. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Leite T. ⚽,
- 65', Berna ↓, Feliz ↑,
- 77', Leite T. 🟨,
- 78', Leite T. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 78', Michel Costa ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
- 78', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Cruz M. ↑,
- 78', Danilovic V. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
- 84', Feliz 🟨,
- 89', Bouzaidi S. 🟥,
- 90', Butzke A. ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
- 90+1', Tejon M. ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Marítimo 51.9% | Draw 27% | Felgueiras 21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Marítimo - Felgueiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↓ (1.93) |
3.4 ↓ (3.42) |
4.39 ↑ (3.62) |
8.1% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Felgueiras?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marítimo will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 11).
- Marítimo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Felgueiras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Marítimo is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Marítimo will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Marítimo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Felgueiras?
Marítimo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Marítimo?
Felgueiras has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Felgueiras were as follows:
16.08.2025
Felgueiras
-
Marítimo
0:1
15.03.2025
Marítimo
-
Felgueiras
0:0
27.10.2024
Felgueiras
-
Marítimo
1:3
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3