Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Jair da Silva ⚽,
- 17', Marcelo 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 1, Lucas Duarte ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Parente T. ↓, Berna ↑,
- 67', Pinto J. ↓, Dario ↑,
- 69', Maga ↓, Sylla H. ↑,
- 69', Michel D. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 74', Cruz F. ↓, Eiro ↑,
- 74', Lucas Duarte ↓, Leite T. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Rivas M. ⚽,
- 80', Sylla H. 🟨,
- 83', Jair da Silva ↓, Quizera F. ↑,
- 83', Pires M. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 84', Silva A. 🟨,
- 86', Landinho ↓, Martins H. ↑,
- 87', Mateus Pasinato 🟨,
- 88', Daniel Borges ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
- 90+7', Mendes J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Felgueiras
29.9% | Draw
30.4% | Leiria
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felgueiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Felgueiras's form might have worsened.Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felgueiras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Felgueiras - Leiria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.59) |
3.07 ↓
(3.28) |
2.36 ↓
(2.64) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Felgueiras - Leiria?
Users Predictions:
Leiria will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4).
- Felgueiras has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leiria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Felgueiras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Leiria?
Felgueiras has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Felgueiras?
Leiria has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Felgueiras - Leiria were as follows:
13.12.2025
Leiria
-
Felgueiras
2:3
08.03.2025
Felgueiras
-
Leiria
2:2
11.10.2024
Leiria
-
Felgueiras
1:3
06.05.2023
Felgueiras
-
Leiria
0:2
16.04.2023
Leiria
-
Felgueiras
4:1
Latest results of Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Feirense | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
