Fenerbahçe vs Aston Villa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa League
Result
0:1
22/01/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 2 ROI
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaJOJ Play, JOJ Sport
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus
worldWorldSport 24, VIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.891.46
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
84
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Passes
87% (446/511)79% (230/291)
Yellow cards
45
Expected goals (xG)
0.891.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.78
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
29
Shots outside the box
113
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
01
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1528
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
72
Free kicks
1513
Passes
87% (446/511)79% (230/291)
Long passes
63% (30/48)44% (15/34)
Passes in final third
70% (93/132)73% (66/91)
Crosses
14% (2/14)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.791.40
Throw ins
1413
Fouls
1315
Tackles
65% (15/23)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5648
Clearances
3230
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
28
xGOT faced
0.781.37
Goals prevented
0.780.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Sancho J. ⚽,
  • 44', Nene D. 🟨,
  • 45', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 56', Semedo N. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,
  • 56', Nene D. ↓, Talisca ↑,
  • 73', Yuksek I. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
  • 75', Buendia E. ↓, Onana A. ↑,
  • 75', Cash M. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
  • 75', Rogers M. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
  • 75', Sancho J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
  • 78', Lindelof V. 🟨,
  • 79', Muldur M. 🟨,
  • 88', Skriniar M. 🟨,
  • 89', Tielemans Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Tielemans Y. ↓, Hemmings G. ↑,
  • 90+5', Bogarde L. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Guessand E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
38.6%		Draw
26.8%		Aston Villa
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 27% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 28.7% 41.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fenerbahçe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aston Villa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Fenerbahçe - Aston Villa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.48 ↓
    (2.71)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.43)    		 2.72 ↑
    (2.39)    		 5.1%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Aston Villa?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 24 - 55.8%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 12 - 27.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 16.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 41% – 70.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Aston Villa (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Aston Villa (2.07) (votes: 4 - 57.1%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DC - Fenerbahçe (1.41) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 9 - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Fenerbahçe (2.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Fenerbahçe (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Fenerbahçe (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Fenerbahçe (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Aston Villa (votes: 10 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Fenerbahçe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Brown A. (Injury) Elmaz B. (Inactive) Fall A. (Inactive) Guendouzi M. (Inactive) Gunok M. (Inactive) Mercan L. (Muscle Injury) Mor E. (Inactive) Musaba A. (Inactive) Szymanski S. (Groin Injury) Yandas M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Aston Villa: Barkley R. (Knee Injury) Kamara B. (Injury) Madjo B. (Inactive) Onana A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Aston Villa: McGinn J. (Injury) Sancho J. (Illness)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    18.01.2026 Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe 2:3 ✺
    14.01.2026 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Fenerbahçe 0:1
    10.01.2026 Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe 0:2 ✺
    06.01.2026 Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor 2:0 ✺
    23.12.2025 Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    18.01.2026 Aston Villa - Everton 0:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa 1:2 ✺
    07.01.2026 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 0:0 ✺
    03.01.2026 Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest 3:1 ✺
    30.12.2025 Arsenal - Aston Villa 4:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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