Galatasaray vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
10/01/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Cup - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaATV 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
turkeyTurkeyATV

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.610.79
Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
712
Shots on target
15
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
26
Passes
87% (388/447)71% (172/242)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
0.610.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.050.42
Total shots
712
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
58
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2025
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1712
Passes
87% (388/447)71% (172/242)
Long passes
48% (19/40)29% (10/34)
Passes in final third
72% (74/103)61% (46/75)
Crosses
36% (9/25)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.41
Throw ins
1817
Fouls
1217
Tackles
56% (9/16)57% (13/23)
Duels won
4553
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
0.420.05
Goals prevented
-1.590.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Sanchez D. 🟨,
  • 23', Muldur M. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Guendouzi M. , Mercan L. (A),
  • 33', Sallai R. 🟨,
  • 41', Sane L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sanchez D. , Gabriel Sara ,
  • 48', 0 - 2, Oosterwolde J. , Asensio M. (A),
  • 49', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
  • 49', Tedesco D. 🟨,
  • 69', Musaba A. , Talisca ,
  • 69', Duran J. , Nene D. ,
  • 72', Torreira L. , Gundogan I. ,
  • 78', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
  • 79', Sane L. , Kutucu A. ,
  • 82', Oosterwolde J. , Soyuncu C. ,
  • 83', Icardi M. 🟨,
  • 87', Sallai R. , Karatas K. ,
  • 87', Elmali E. , Ayhan K. ,
  • 90', Muldur M. , Demir Y. E. ,
  • 90', Akturkoglu K. , Aydin O. ,

Chances of winning


Galatasaray
39.2%
Draw
28.4%
Fenerbahçe
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 26.8% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 25.6% 31.4%

Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.38
(2.33)
3.31
(3.5)
2.88
(2.85)
6.9%
(6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Galatasaray will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 9.6%70.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Atatürk Olimpiyat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Galatasaray: Baltaci M. (Suspended) Demir Y. (Inactive) Kutlu B. (Inactive) Singo W. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Inactive) Brown A. (Injury) Egribayat I. (Inactive) Fred (Inactive) Semedo N. (Injury) Talisca (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Musaba A. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galatasaray won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Galatasaray won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    01.12.2025 Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray 1:1
    02.04.2025 Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray 1:2
    24.02.2025 Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe 0:0
    21.09.2024 Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray 1:3
    19.05.2024 Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe 0:1
    Latest results of Galatasaray
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    06.01.2026 Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor 2:0
    23.12.2025 Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş 1:2
    20.12.2025 Eyüpspor - Fenerbahçe 0:3
    15.12.2025 Fenerbahçe - Konyaspor 4:0
    11.12.2025 Brann - Fenerbahçe 0:4
    Draw
    2025

    Semi-finals
    1GalatasarayTrabzonspor4 : 1
    2FenerbahceSamsunspor2 : 0

    Final
    1GalatasarayFenerbahce0 : 2