Result
0:1
05/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 24
- Referee: Arcediano D. (Esp)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.74 | 1.28 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
7 | 9 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 20 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
36 | 19 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
17 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
81% (352/434) | 69% (211/304) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
64% (74/115) | 50% (52/105) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (6/26) | 25% (3/12) |
Tackles |
---|
80% (8/10) | 53% (10/19) |
Clearances Total |
---|
43 | 56 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Elady ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
- 45+5', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cordoba I. ↓, Curro ↑,
- 46', Ojeda D. ↓, Alex ↑,
- 56', Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↓, Nino F. ↑,
- 64', Insua E. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
- 64', Blanco R. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
- 69', Sene J. 🟨,
- 71', Sene J. ↓, Perea L. ↑,
- 75', Miguel F. 🟨,
- 78', Dorrio J. ↓, Borrego C. ↑,
- 78', Jauregi E. ↓, Carballo D. ↑,
- 83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Pipa ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5cw5x8tx
Chances of winning
Ferrol 28.7% | Draw 35.6% | Burgos 35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrol's form might have worsened.Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ferrol - Burgos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.27 ↑ (2.43) |
2.65 ↓ (2.92) |
2.65 ↓ (3.18) |
6% (6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Ferrol - Burgos?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Burgos will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 29.2% – 76.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 0.
- Ferrol has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Burgos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Ferrol: Cabaco E.
(Injury)
Manzanara F.
(Muscle Injury)
Martinez B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Burgos: Appin K.
(Knee Injury)
Navarro R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ferrol won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Burgos?
Ferrol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Ferrol?
Burgos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Burgos were as follows:
24.10.2024
Burgos
-
Ferrol
1:1
11.02.2024
Burgos
-
Ferrol
2:0
19.11.2023
Ferrol
-
Burgos
1:1
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gijon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Las Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Castellon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Albacete | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Eibar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Malaga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Cadiz CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Burgos CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huesca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Racing Santander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Almeria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Dep. La Coruna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Valladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Zaragoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Real Sociedad B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Cultural Leonesa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Ceuta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Granada CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Mirandes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation