Ferrol vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
29/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
81
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
810
Corner Kicks
81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Areso J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', 1 - 0, Pena A. ,
  • 65', Pareja L. , Martinez G. ,
  • 70', Pena A. 🟨,
  • 72', Chiqui , Artola J. ,
  • 72', Areso J. , Gomes R. ,
  • 75', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 75', Alvaro J. , Dacosta R. ,
  • 78', Pujol E. 🟨,
  • 80', Pena A. , Gelardo A. ,
  • 80', Gimenez A. , Escobar A. ,
  • 87', Dibrani B. , Capitas M. ,
  • 87', Dominguez J. , Pipe ,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Artola J. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Garcia A. ,
  • 90+10', 🟨,
  • 90+12', 2 - 2, Mardones A. ,

Chances of winning


Ferrol
49.4%
Draw
29.2%
Mérida AD
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.3% 27.7% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 27.5% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Ferrol - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.89)
    3.18
    (3.36)
    4.29
    (4.05)
    8.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ferrol - Mérida AD?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 6).
    • Ferrol has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mérida AD is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Ferrol is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ferrol won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Mérida AD were as follows:
    09.04.2023 Mérida AD - Ferrol 2:1
    27.11.2022 Ferrol - Mérida AD 1:1
    Latest results of Ferrol
    23.11.2025 Barakaldo - Ferrol 2:1
    16.11.2025 Ferrol - Zamora 1:0
    08.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ferrol 0:2
    01.11.2025 Ferrol - Tenerife 0:2
    28.10.2025 Langreo - Ferrol 0:1
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife29196450:173363
    2Celta Vigo B29149644:36851
    3Ath Bilbao B29128931:31044
    4Barakaldo291111738:29944
    5Pontevedra281013532:201243
    6Ponferradina291271031:24743
    7Zamora291110838:33543
    8Real Madrid B291271040:38243
    9Lugo291012728:28042
    10Racing Club Ferrol291261134:33142
    11AD Merida291181038:39-141
    12Unionistas291081138:39-138
    13Arenas Getxo281051332:39-735
    14Real Aviles29971341:49-834
    15Ourense CF29891231:33-233
    16Guadalajara29881331:42-1132
    17CF Talavera29871430:39-931
    18Cacereno296121127:38-1130
    19Arenteiro29681526:37-1126
    20Osasuna B29591518:34-1624

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