Result
1:2
31/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Dominguez J. 🟨,
- 28', Gil A. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Gomes R. ⚽,
- 37', Bari Q. 🟨,
- 41', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
- 67', Gomes R. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
- 68', Hallsson S. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
- 71', Cayarga B. ↓, Isi Ros ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Dominguez J. ⚽,
- 81', Solar M. ↓, Pareja L. ↑,
- 82', Gomez A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 82', Chukwuma E. ↓, Rivera C. ↑,
- 88', Bari Q. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
- 88', Chiqui ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 88', Santamaria A. ↓, Poquet N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Real Avilés
38.5% | Draw
30.9% | Mérida AD
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Real Avilés - Mérida AD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↑
(2.25) |
2.94 ↓
(3.16) |
3.01 ↓
(3.17) |
9.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Avilés - Mérida AD?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Mérida AD?
Real Avilés has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Real Avilés?
Mérida AD has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Avilés - Mérida AD were as follows:
22.11.2025
Mérida AD
-
Real Avilés
2:1
Latest results of Real Avilés
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
