Result
2:1
07/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 36
- Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (257/338) | 74% (230/309) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (257/338) | 74% (230/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 45% (34/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (58/96) | 44% (41/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Douglas Pele ⚽, Welinton Torrao (A),
- 19', Yuri 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Carlao ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tavares R. ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
- 60', Marcelo Ajul ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
- 74', Fabio ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
- 76', Guilherme Cachoeira 🟨,
- 79', Netinho ↓, Albano ↑,
- 81', Douglas Pele 🟨,
- 83', Welinton Torrao ↓, Fabricio Isidoro ↑,
- 83', Martinez F. ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
- 83', Alencar ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 86', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 90', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sidimar 🟨,
- 90+2', Sidimar ↓, Indio G. ↑,
- 90+4', Vitor Barreto 🟥,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Jhonatan Silva ⚽,
- 90+12', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
- 90+13', Maycon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletic Club
50.3% | Draw
28.2% | Ferroviária
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Athletic Club - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.88) |
3.32 ↑
(3.26) |
4.32 ↑
(4.07) |
6.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
- Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Athletic is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Athletic: Chico Geraldes
(Yellow Cards)
Max
(Inactive)
Rodrigo Gelado
(Inactive)
Wesley Gasolina
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Jundi
(Injury)
Gustavo Medina
(Inactive)
Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Injury)
Ze Mario
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Athletic: David Braga
(Injury)
Luiz Filipe
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Edson Lucas
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Ferroviária?
Athletic Club has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Athletic Club?
Ferroviária has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Ferroviária were as follows:
18.07.2025
Ferroviária
-
Athletic Club
1:2
23.09.2024
Athletic Club
-
Ferroviária
3:0
16.09.2024
Ferroviária
-
Athletic Club
3:2
10.08.2024
Ferroviária
-
Athletic Club
1:1
10.09.2023
Athletic Club
-
Ferroviária
1:2
Latest results of Athletic Club
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Botafogo SP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Goias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Londrina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Avai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Athletic Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Operario-PR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | CRB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Ceara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Sport Recife | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Ponte Preta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Nautico | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Atletico GO | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | America MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Novorizontino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Juventude | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 20 | Fortaleza | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
