Athletic Club vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletic Club - Ferroviária
Result
2:1
07/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 36
  • Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.65
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
10
Passes
76% (257/338)74% (230/309)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.001.45
Total shots
79
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
51
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
10
Touches in opposition box
133
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1123
Passes
76% (257/338)74% (230/309)
Long passes
35% (18/52)45% (34/76)
Passes in final third
60% (58/96)44% (41/93)
Crosses
14% (2/14)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.18
Throw-ins
2226
Fouls
2311
Tackles
68% (13/19)91% (10/11)
Duels won
5050
Clearances
1817
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.452.00
Goals prevented
0.450.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Douglas Pele , Welinton Torrao (A),
  • 19', Yuri 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Carlao ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Tavares R. , Guilherme Cachoeira ,
  • 60', Marcelo Ajul , Ezequiel ,
  • 74', Fabio , Fabricio Daniel ,
  • 76', Guilherme Cachoeira 🟨,
  • 79', Netinho , Albano ,
  • 81', Douglas Pele 🟨,
  • 83', Welinton Torrao , Fabricio Isidoro ,
  • 83', Martinez F. , Da Cruz A. ,
  • 83', Alencar , Tarik ,
  • 86', Juninho , Vitor Barreto ,
  • 90', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Sidimar 🟨,
  • 90+2', Sidimar , Indio G. ,
  • 90+4', Vitor Barreto 🟥,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Jhonatan Silva ,
  • 90+12', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 90+13', Maycon 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Club
50.3%
Draw
28.2%
Ferroviária
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 28.3% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 28.3% 22.7%

Athletic Club - Ferroviária Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.87
(1.88)
3.32
(3.26)
4.32
(4.07)
6.7%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Ferroviária?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
    • Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Athletic is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Chico Geraldes (Yellow Cards) Max (Inactive) Rodrigo Gelado (Inactive) Wesley Gasolina (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Knee Injury) Gustavo Jundi (Injury) Gustavo Medina (Inactive) Ronaldo (Inactive) Thayllon (Injury) Ze Mario (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: David Braga (Injury) Luiz Filipe (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Edson Lucas (Inactive)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Ferroviária were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Ferroviária - Athletic Club 1:2
    23.09.2024 Athletic Club - Ferroviária 3:0
    16.09.2024 Ferroviária - Athletic Club 3:2
    10.08.2024 Ferroviária - Athletic Club 1:1
    10.09.2023 Athletic Club - Ferroviária 1:2
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    31.10.2025 Ferroviária - Criciúma 0:0
    26.10.2025 Vila Nova - Ferroviária 2:2
    20.10.2025 Ferroviária - Paysandu 2:2
    13.10.2025 CRB Maceio - Ferroviária 2:2
    09.10.2025 Ferroviária - Chapecoense 0:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba ✔ 371811837:221565
    2Chapecoense-SC371781251:351659
    3Athletico-PR361781150:42859
    4Remo371514848:381059
    5Criciuma3616101045:321358
    6Goias3616101040:34658
    7Novorizontino361415740:31957
    8CRB371681345:37856
    9Avai3714131050:401055
    10Atletico GO3713131139:37252
    11Cuiaba3613111241:43-250
    12Vila Nova FC3711131338:42-446
    13America MG361291540:42-245
    14Operario-PR3711121438:43-545
    15Athletic Club371181841:52-1141
    16Botafogo SP3610111532:50-1841
    17Ferroviaria368161241:48-740
    18Amazonas ✔ 378121737:53-1636
    19Volta Redonda ✔ 378111824:41-1735
    20Paysandu PA ✔ 375131935:50-1528

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Coritiba is Qualified for Serie A Betano
    Amazonas is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
    Volta Redonda is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )
    Paysandu PA is Relegated to Serie C (First stage )