Ferroviária vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Athletic Club
Result
1:2
18/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 17

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.67
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
80% (285/356)88% (469/535)
Yellow Cards
71
Red Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
0.881.67
xG on target (xGOT)
1.201.74
Total shots
97
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
915
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
80% (285/356)88% (469/535)
Long passes
27% (13/48)57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
53% (28/53)71% (80/113)
Crosses
22% (2/9)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.55
Throw-ins
1825
Fouls
1615
Tackles
78% (7/9)80% (4/5)
Duels won
3235
Clearances
1319
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
1.741.20
Goals prevented
-0.260.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Thayllon , Juninho (A),
  • 36', Ze Mario 🟨,
  • 43', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
  • 45+5', Ze Mario 🟨,
  • 45+6', Carlao 🟨,
  • 45+8', 1 - 1, Tavares R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Thiago Lopes , Kevin ,
  • 58', 1 - 2, David Braga , Douglas Pele (A),
  • 63', Juninho , Wesley Pomba ,
  • 67', Welinton Torrao , Mateus Goncalves ,
  • 67', Max , Alason Carioca ,
  • 67', Maycon , Joao Ramos ,
  • 78', Thayllon , Ian Luccas ,
  • 78', Netinho , Alencar ,
  • 79', Tavares R. , Neto Costa ,
  • 79', David Braga , Ezequiel ,
  • 90+3', Ricardinho 🟨,
  • 90+3', Carlao 🟨,
  • 90+3', Ricardinho 🟨,
  • 90+4', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
  • 90+7', Wesley Pomba 🟥,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
43.9%
Draw
30.5%
Athletic Club
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 28.1% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 27.9% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Ferroviária - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (1.92)
    3.15
    (3.3)
    3.85
    (3.9)
    4.2%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviária: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 15)
    • Ferroviária is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Athletic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ferroviária is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano (Yellow Cards) Gustavo Jundi (Inactive) Gustavo Medina (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alex Nascimento (Inactive) Edson Miranda (Inactive) Lincoln (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive) Eric Melo (Inactive) Juninho (Injury) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Da Cruz A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Athletic Club were as follows:
    23.09.2024 Athletic Club - Ferroviária 3:0
    16.09.2024 Ferroviária - Athletic Club 3:2
    10.08.2024 Ferroviária - Athletic Club 1:1
    10.09.2023 Athletic Club - Ferroviária 1:2
    06.09.2023 Ferroviária - Athletic Club 1:0
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    13.07.2025 Criciúma - Ferroviária 2:1
    06.07.2025 Ferroviária - Vila Nova 1:3
    30.06.2025 Paysandu - Ferroviária 2:1
    21.06.2025 Ferroviária - CRB Maceio 1:0
    16.06.2025 Chapecoense - Ferroviária 2:1
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba22126424:15942
    2Goias22125528:20841
    3Chapecoense-SC23124734:201440
    4Criciuma23106730:21936
    5Novorizontino2399525:21436
    6Remo22810424:20434
    7Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    8Avai2289529:21833
    9Cuiaba2295825:25032
    10CRB2294924:21331
    11Ferroviaria2278725:24129
    12Operario-PR2276923:22127
    13Athletico-PR2276928:32-427
    14Atletico GO2269722:24-227
    15Athletic Club23741224:33-925
    16America MG22641223:31-822
    17Volta Redonda22571014:24-1022
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2249919:25-621
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

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