Result
1:2
18/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 1.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
80% (285/356) | 88% (469/535) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
7 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
4 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 1.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.20 | 1.74 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
1 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
80% (285/356) | 88% (469/535) |
Long passes |
---|
27% (13/48) | 57% (26/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (28/53) | 71% (80/113) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (2/9) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.60 | 1.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (7/9) | 80% (4/5) |
Duels won |
---|
32 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.74 | 1.20 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.26 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Thayllon ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 36', Ze Mario 🟨,
- 43', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
- 45+5', Ze Mario 🟨,
- 45+6', Carlao 🟨,
- 45+8', 1 - 1, Tavares R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Thiago Lopes ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, David Braga ⚽, Douglas Pele (A),
- 63', Juninho ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
- 67', Welinton Torrao ↓, Mateus Goncalves ↑,
- 67', Max ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
- 67', Maycon ↓, Joao Ramos ↑,
- 78', Thayllon ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 78', Netinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 79', Tavares R. ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 79', David Braga ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
- 90+3', Ricardinho 🟨,
- 90+3', Carlao 🟨,
- 90+3', Ricardinho 🟨,
- 90+4', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
- 90+7', Wesley Pomba 🟥,
Chances of winning
Ferroviária 43.9% | Draw 30.5% | Athletic Club 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Ferroviária - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.15 ↑ (1.92) |
3.15 ↓ (3.3) |
3.85 ↓ (3.9) |
4.2% (8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviária: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 15)
- Ferroviária is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Athletic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ferroviária is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
Gustavo Medina
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Athletic: Alex Nascimento
(Inactive)
Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Inactive)
Juninho
(Injury)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Da Cruz A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Athletic Club?
Ferroviária has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Ferroviária?
Athletic Club has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Athletic Club were as follows:
23.09.2024
Athletic Club
-
Ferroviária
3:0
16.09.2024
Ferroviária
-
Athletic Club
3:2
10.08.2024
Ferroviária
-
Athletic Club
1:1
10.09.2023
Athletic Club
-
Ferroviária
1:2
06.09.2023
Ferroviária
-
Athletic Club
1:0
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26:17 | 9 | 38 |
2 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Criciuma | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23:18 | 5 | 29 |
7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
10 | Operario-PR | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 22:20 | 2 | 26 |
11 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
12 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
16 | America MG | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 21:28 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 21 |
19 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
20 | Amazonas | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20:27 | -7 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )