Result
1:2
18/07/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (285/356) | 88% (469/535) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (285/356) | 88% (469/535) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (13/48) | 57% (26/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 71% (80/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Thayllon ⚽, Juninho (A),
- 36', Ze Mario 🟨,
- 43', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
- 45+5', Ze Mario 🟨,
- 45+6', Carlao 🟨,
- 45+8', 1 - 1, Tavares R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Thiago Lopes ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 58', 1 - 2, David Braga ⚽, Douglas Pele (A),
- 63', Juninho ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
- 67', Welinton Torrao ↓, Mateus Goncalves ↑,
- 67', Max ↓, Alason Carioca ↑,
- 67', Maycon ↓, Joao Ramos ↑,
- 78', Thayllon ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 78', Netinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 79', Tavares R. ↓, Neto Costa ↑,
- 79', David Braga ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
- 90+3', Ricardinho 🟨,
- 90+3', Carlao 🟨,
- 90+3', Ricardinho 🟨,
- 90+4', Ronaldo Alves 🟨,
- 90+7', Wesley Pomba 🟥,
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
43.9% | Draw
30.5% | Athletic Club
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Ferroviária - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.92) |
3.15 ↓
(3.3) |
3.85 ↓
(3.9) |
4.2%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Athletic Club?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Athletic will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviária: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 and 15)
- Ferroviária is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Athletic is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ferroviária is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano
(Yellow Cards)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
Gustavo Medina
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Athletic: Alex Nascimento
(Inactive)
Edson Miranda
(Inactive)
Lincoln
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Cassio Gabriel
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Inactive)
Juninho
(Injury)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Athletic: Da Cruz A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviária won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviária won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Athletic Club?
Ferroviária has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Ferroviária?
Athletic Club has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Athletic Club were as follows:
23.09.2024
Athletic Club
-
Ferroviária
3:0
16.09.2024
Ferroviária
-
Athletic Club
3:2
10.08.2024
Ferroviária
-
Athletic Club
1:1
10.09.2023
Athletic Club
-
Ferroviária
1:2
06.09.2023
Ferroviária
-
Athletic Club
1:0
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 47 |
| 2 | Goias | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 45 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33:21 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Remo | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 7 | Novorizontino | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 8 | Athletico-PR | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:34 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Vila Nova FC | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Avai | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 36 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 12 | CRB | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:23 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21:38 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | America MG | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26:33 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 27 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
