Athletic Club vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estádio Joaquim Portugal (Minas Gerais).

Serie B Superbet - Round 36
Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	0.65
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
1	0
Passes
76% (257/338)	74% (230/309)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.00	1.45
Total shots
7	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
5	1
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
1	0
Touches in opposition box
13	3
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
11	23
Passes
76% (257/338)	74% (230/309)
Long passes
35% (18/52)	45% (34/76)
Passes in final third
60% (58/96)	44% (41/93)
Crosses
14% (2/14)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.18
Throw-ins
22	26
Fouls
23	11
Tackles
68% (13/19)	91% (10/11)
Duels won
50	50
Clearances
18	17
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.45	2.00
Goals prevented
0.45	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Douglas Pele ⚽, Welinton Torrao (A),
19', Yuri 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Carlao ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tavares R. ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
60', Marcelo Ajul ↓, Ezequiel ↑,
74', Fabio ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
76', Guilherme Cachoeira 🟨,
79', Netinho ↓, Albano ↑,
81', Douglas Pele 🟨,
83', Welinton Torrao ↓, Fabricio Isidoro ↑,
83', Martinez F. ↓, Da Cruz A. ↑,
83', Alencar ↓, Tarik ↑,
86', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
90', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
90+1', Sidimar 🟨,
90+2', Sidimar ↓, Indio G. ↑,
90+4', Vitor Barreto 🟥,
90+6', 2 - 1, Jhonatan Silva ⚽,
90+12', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
90+13', Maycon 🟨,

Chances of winning

Athletic Club
50.3%

Draw
28.2%

Ferroviária
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28.3%

22.7%

Athletic Club - Ferroviária Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.88)	3.32 ↑ (3.26)	4.32 ↑ (4.07)	6.7% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Athletic Club - Ferroviária?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 23.1% – 88.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
Athletic is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ferroviária has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Athletic is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Athletic: Chico Geraldes (Yellow Cards) Max (Inactive) Rodrigo Gelado (Inactive) Wesley Gasolina (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Knee Injury) Gustavo Jundi (Injury) Gustavo Medina (Inactive) Ronaldo (Inactive) Thayllon (Injury) Ze Mario (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Athletic: David Braga (Injury) Luiz Filipe (Injury)
There are questionable in Ferroviária: Edson Lucas (Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Ferroviária?

Athletic Club has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Athletic Club?

Ferroviária has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Club - Ferroviária were as follows:

18.07.2025 Ferroviária - Athletic Club 1:2

23.09.2024 Athletic Club - Ferroviária 3:0

16.09.2024 Ferroviária - Athletic Club 3:2

10.08.2024 Ferroviária - Athletic Club 1:1

10.09.2023 Athletic Club - Ferroviária 1:2

Latest results of Athletic Club

01.11.2025 Avaí - Athletic Club 2:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Athletic Club - América Mineiro 0:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Remo - Athletic Club 3:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Athletic Club - Goiás 1:1 ✺

08.10.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Athletic Club 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Ferroviária

31.10.2025 Ferroviária - Criciúma 0:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Vila Nova - Ferroviária 2:2 ✺

20.10.2025 Ferroviária - Paysandu 2:2 ✺

13.10.2025 CRB Maceio - Ferroviária 2:2 ✺

09.10.2025 Ferroviária - Chapecoense 0:1 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	38	19	11	8	39:23	16	68
2	Athletico-PR	38	19	8	11	53:43	10	65
3	Chapecoense-SC	38	18	8	12	52:35	17	62
4	Remo	38	16	14	8	51:39	12	62
5	Criciuma	38	17	10	11	47:33	14	61
6	Goias	38	17	10	11	42:37	5	61
7	Novorizontino	38	15	15	8	43:32	11	60
8	CRB	38	16	8	14	45:40	5	56
9	Avai	38	14	14	10	50:40	10	56
10	Cuiaba	38	14	12	12	43:44	-1	54
11	Atletico GO	38	13	13	12	39:38	1	52
12	Operario-PR	38	12	12	14	40:44	-4	48
13	Vila Nova FC	38	11	14	13	40:44	-4	47
14	America MG	38	12	10	16	41:44	-3	46
15	Athletic Club	38	12	8	18	43:53	-10	44
16	Botafogo SP	38	10	12	16	32:52	-20	42
17	Ferroviaria	38	8	16	14	43:52	-9	40
18	Amazonas	38	8	12	18	38:55	-17	36
19	Volta Redonda	38	8	12	18	26:43	-17	36
20	Paysandu PA	38	5	13	20	36:52	-16	28

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )