Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (385/470) | 73% (253/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.07 | 2.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 42 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (385/470) | 73% (253/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (31/53) | 46% (29/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (110/158) | 59% (37/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (13/34) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.89 | 2.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Netinho ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Cleber ⚽, Emerson Negueba (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ze Ricardo ↓, Thayllon ↑,
- 49', 1 - 2, Fabricio Daniel ⚽,
- 71', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 72', Juninho ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
- 76', Joao Vitor 🟨,
- 78', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 80', Joao Vitor ↓, Guilherme Santos ↑,
- 80', JP ↓, Hygor ↑,
- 87', Netinho ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 87', Ricardinho ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
- 88', Emerson Negueba ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 88', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
- 89', Vitor Barreto 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Eduardo Brock ⚽, Guilherme Santos (A),
Chances of winning
Avaí
51.8% | Draw
27.7% | Ferroviária
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Avaí - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.62) |
3.49 ↓
(3.6) |
4.68 ↓
(5.38) |
2.1%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Avaí is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Avaí: Andrey
(Injury)
Jonathan Costa
(Red Card)
Marcos Vinicius
(Yellow Cards)
Romildo Del Piage
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Cleber
(Injury)
Eduardo Brock
(Injury)
Quaresma
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Netinho
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Ferroviária?
Avaí has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Avaí?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Ferroviária were as follows:
15.05.2025
Ferroviária
-
Avaí
1:1
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Criciuma | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:21 | 15 | 49 |
| 2 | Goias | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 49 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 4 | Coritiba | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:19 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Chapecoense-SC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico GO | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | CRB | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 31:26 | 5 | 40 |
| 10 | Avai | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
| 12 | Remo | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 29:26 | 3 | 39 |
| 13 | Vila Nova FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 37 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | America MG | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:34 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 18:29 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 24:42 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 27 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 21:33 | -12 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
