Avaí vs Ferroviária – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Avaí - Ferroviária
Result
2:2
20/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.141.54
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
3212
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
82% (385/470)73% (253/345)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.141.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.072.89
Total shots
3212
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
145
Blocked Shots
121
Shots inside the Box
206
Shots outside the Box
126
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
4213
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
82% (385/470)73% (253/345)
Long passes
58% (31/53)46% (29/63)
Passes in final third
70% (110/158)59% (37/63)
Crosses
38% (13/34)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.45
Throw-ins
3617
Fouls
1313
Tackles
60% (9/15)63% (12/19)
Duels won
5757
Clearances
1147
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.892.07
Goals prevented
0.890.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Ze Ricardo 🟨,
  • 10', 0 - 1, Netinho ,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Cleber , Emerson Negueba (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Ze Ricardo , Thayllon ,
  • 49', 1 - 2, Fabricio Daniel ,
  • 71', Carlao , Ronaldo ,
  • 72', Juninho , Vitor Barreto ,
  • 76', Joao Vitor 🟨,
  • 78', Fabricio Daniel , Tarik ,
  • 80', Joao Vitor , Guilherme Santos ,
  • 80', JP , Hygor ,
  • 87', Netinho , Maycon ,
  • 87', Ricardinho , Ze Hugo ,
  • 88', Emerson Negueba , Juninho ,
  • 88', Marcos Vinicius , Leo Reis ,
  • 89', Vitor Barreto 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Eduardo Brock , Guilherme Santos (A),

Chances of winning


Avaí
51.8%
Draw
27.7%
Ferroviária
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 25.7% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 23.6% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.
  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Avaí - Ferroviária Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.62)
    3.49
    (3.6)
    4.68
    (5.38)
    2.1%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 15).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Avaí is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Avaí: Andrey (Injury) Jonathan Costa (Red Card) Marcos Vinicius (Yellow Cards) Romildo Del Piage (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Cleber (Injury) Eduardo Brock (Injury) Quaresma (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Netinho (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avaí - Ferroviária were as follows:
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    Latest results of Avaí
    09.09.2025 Figueirense - Avaí 5:0
    07.09.2025 Avaí - Goiás 2:1
    02.09.2025 América Mineiro - Avaí 2:0
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba32168834:211356
    2Novorizontino331412736:27954
    3Criciuma32158942:291353
    4Goias321410836:29752
    5Chapecoense-SC321561144:311351
    6Remo321312739:31851
    7Athletico-PR321471145:42349
    8Cuiaba321310938:35349
    9CRB331461339:34548
    10Atletico GO331212936:33348
    11Avai3211111040:34644
    12Vila Nova FC3311101232:34-243
    13Operario-PR321091332:36-439
    14America MG331081535:40-538
    15Athletic Club321071537:44-737
    16Ferroviaria328131136:42-637
    17Volta Redonda328101422:34-1234
    18Botafogo SP32891527:47-2033
    19Amazonas337111533:48-1532
    20Paysandu PA325111628:40-1226

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