Ferroviária vs Avaí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - Avaí
Result
1:1
15/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.32
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
87% (506/579)78% (216/277)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.761.32
xG on target (xGOT)
0.821.09
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
115
Passes
87% (506/579)78% (216/277)
Long passes
54% (34/63)58% (34/59)
Passes in final third
71% (80/113)59% (47/79)
Crosses
15% (3/20)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.25
Throw-ins
3111
Fouls
511
Tackles
91% (10/11)100% (4/4)
Duels won
5033
Clearances
2624
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.090.82
Goals prevented
0.09-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Cleber , Joao Vitor (A),
  • 15', Mario Sergio , Andrey ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Thiago Lopes , Carlao (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', JP , Emerson Negueba ,
  • 58', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
  • 61', Eric Melo , Ze Mario ,
  • 74', Ricardinho , Alencar ,
  • 75', Juninho , Igor Bolt ,
  • 75', Hygor , Gaspar ,
  • 81', Albano , Cassio Gabriel ,
  • 81', Netinho , Ian Luccas ,
  • 82', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
  • 84', Marcos Vinicius , Railan ,
  • 84', Marquinhos Gabriel , Mendes ,
  • 86', Thiago Lopes , Ronaldo ,
  • 90', Cleber , Rigley ,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
38.1%
Draw
32.9%
Avaí
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 28.7% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.3% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Ferroviária - Avaí Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.18)
    2.84
    (3.2)
    3.23
    (3.15)
    6.9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Avaí?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Ferroviária has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Avaí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A. (Inactive) Denilson (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga (Yellow Cards) Leo Reis (Inactive) Renan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Ferroviária: Ronaldo Alves (Inactive) Thayllon (Inactive) Vitor Barreto (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Avaí: Gustavo Barreto (Inactive) Quaresma (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    Latest results of Avaí
    05.05.2025 Goiás - Avaí 2:1
    26.04.2025 Avaí - América Mineiro 3:0
    21.04.2025 Amazonas - Avaí 0:2
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias17113323:131036
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1787222:121031
    4Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    5Chapecoense-SC1782721:16526
    6Remo1768319:15426
    7Cuiaba1774619:20-125
    8Avai1767420:18225
    9Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG1762917:21-420
    16Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    17Paysandu PA1746716:19-318
    18Volta Redonda1746710:16-618
    19Botafogo SP1746712:20-818
    20Amazonas1745816:23-717

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )