Result
1:1
15/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (506/579) | 78% (216/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (506/579) | 78% (216/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 58% (34/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (80/113) | 59% (47/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Cleber ⚽, Joao Vitor (A),
- 15', Mario Sergio ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Thiago Lopes ⚽, Carlao (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', JP ↓, Emerson Negueba ↑,
- 58', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 61', Eric Melo ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 74', Ricardinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 75', Juninho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 75', Hygor ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 81', Albano ↓, Cassio Gabriel ↑,
- 81', Netinho ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 82', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
- 84', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
- 84', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Mendes ↑,
- 86', Thiago Lopes ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 90', Cleber ↓, Rigley ↑,
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
38.1% | Draw
32.9% | Avaí
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Ferroviária - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.18) |
2.84 ↓
(3.2) |
3.23 ↑
(3.15) |
6.9%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Ferroviária has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Avaí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga
(Yellow Cards)
Leo Reis
(Inactive)
Renan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Ronaldo Alves
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Gustavo Barreto
(Inactive)
Quaresma
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Avaí?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Ferroviária?
Avaí has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Avaí were as follows:
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 28:16 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Goias | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 44 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:21 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Remo | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 38 |
| 6 | Novorizontino | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | CRB | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26:22 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Vila Nova FC | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:23 | 3 | 33 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31:33 | -2 | 33 |
| 12 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 33 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 31 |
| 14 | Ferroviaria | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 20:33 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 26 |
| 18 | America MG | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 25:32 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 24 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
