Result
1:1
15/05/2025 at 20:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, RedeTV!, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.76 | 1.32 |
Ball Possession |
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67% | 33% |
Total shots |
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16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
87% (506/579) | 78% (216/277) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.76 | 1.32 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.82 | 1.09 |
Total shots |
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16 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
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16 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 5 |
Passes |
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87% (506/579) | 78% (216/277) |
Long passes |
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54% (34/63) | 58% (34/59) |
Passes in final third |
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71% (80/113) | 59% (47/79) |
Crosses |
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15% (3/20) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.50 | 1.25 |
Throw-ins |
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31 | 11 |
Fouls |
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5 | 11 |
Tackles |
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91% (10/11) | 100% (4/4) |
Duels won |
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50 | 33 |
Clearances |
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26 | 24 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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1.09 | 0.82 |
Goals prevented |
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0.09 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Cleber ⚽, Joao Vitor (A),
- 15', Mario Sergio ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Thiago Lopes ⚽, Carlao (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', JP ↓, Emerson Negueba ↑,
- 58', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 61', Eric Melo ↓, Ze Mario ↑,
- 74', Ricardinho ↓, Alencar ↑,
- 75', Juninho ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
- 75', Hygor ↓, Gaspar ↑,
- 81', Albano ↓, Cassio Gabriel ↑,
- 81', Netinho ↓, Ian Luccas ↑,
- 82', Jonathan Costa 🟨,
- 84', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
- 84', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Mendes ↑,
- 86', Thiago Lopes ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 90', Cleber ↓, Rigley ↑,
Chances of winning
Ferroviária 38.1% | Draw 32.9% | Avaí 29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Ferroviária - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.45 ↑ (2.18) |
2.84 ↓ (3.2) |
3.23 ↑ (3.15) |
6.9% (8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ferroviária - Avaí?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ferroviária (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- Ferroviária has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Avaí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Caua A.
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Avaí: Alef Manga
(Yellow Cards)
Leo Reis
(Inactive)
Renan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Ronaldo Alves
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Inactive)
Vitor Barreto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Gustavo Barreto
(Inactive)
Quaresma
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
- Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Avaí?
Ferroviária has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Ferroviária?
Avaí has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Avaí were as follows:
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Goias | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 36 |
2 | Coritiba | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19:12 | 7 | 34 |
3 | Novorizontino | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Vila Nova FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17:16 | 1 | 27 |
5 | Chapecoense-SC | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Remo | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Cuiaba | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Avai | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
9 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Criciuma | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 23 |
11 | Athletic Club | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Operario-PR | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
13 | CRB | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:18 | -2 | 22 |
14 | Atletico GO | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
15 | America MG | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
16 | Ferroviaria | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
17 | Paysandu PA | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16:19 | -3 | 18 |
18 | Volta Redonda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 18 |
19 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 18 |
20 | Amazonas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:23 | -7 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )