Ferroviária vs CRB Maceio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - CRB Maceio
Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 13
  • Referee: Miranda L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.31
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
78% (191/246)88% (457/517)
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.430.38
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
710
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
539
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
78% (191/246)88% (457/517)
Long passes
47% (25/53)78% (38/49)
Passes in final third
67% (49/73)78% (153/197)
Crosses
38% (3/8)23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.272.51
Throw-ins
1018
Fouls
1018
Tackles
80% (8/10)83% (5/6)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
297
Interceptions
70
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.380.43
Goals prevented
0.38-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Weverton 🟨,
  • 16', Fernando Henrique 🟨,
  • 17', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 30', Gustavo Medina 🟥,
  • 35', Thiago Lopes , Joao Ramos ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Netinho ,
  • 45', Thiaguinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Weverton , Hayner ,
  • 46', Fernando Henrique , Giovanni ,
  • 46', Douglas Baggio , Willian Pottker ,
  • 57', Matheus Ribeiro , Leo Campos ,
  • 63', Thiaguinho , Breno Herculano ,
  • 66', Mikael 🟨,
  • 66', Eric Melo 🟨,
  • 67', Lucas Rodrigues , Kevin ,
  • 67', Albano , Alencar ,
  • 70', Gege 🟨,
  • 71', Netinho , Thayllon ,
  • 71', Juninho , Tarik ,
  • 75', Breno Herculano 🟨,
  • 75', Netinho 🟥,
  • 90+8', Ricardinho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
48.3%
Draw
29.6%
CRB Maceio
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 31.3% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 31.8% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.
  • CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CRB Maceio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferroviária - CRB Maceio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.54)
    3.14
    (2.95)
    4.34
    (2.85)
    6.3%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - CRB Maceio?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 12 - 75%). CRB will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviária: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ferroviária will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ferroviária is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    16.06.2025 Chapecoense - Ferroviária 2:1
    29.05.2025 Ferroviária - Botafogo SP 1:1
    23.05.2025 Goiás - Ferroviária 2:0
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    Latest results of CRB Maceio
    14.06.2025 CRB Maceio - Goiás 2:0
    07.06.2025 Avaí - CRB Maceio 1:0
    01.06.2025 CRB Maceio - Remo 2:0
    26.05.2025 Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio 2:1
    22.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Santos 1:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1897223:121134
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Cuiaba1884622:21128
    6Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    7Remo1768319:15426
    8Avai1767420:18225
    9Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    17Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1746712:20-818

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )