Ferroviária vs CRB Maceio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Ferroviária - CRB Maceio
Result
1:0
21/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 13
  • Referee: Miranda L. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.31
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
78% (191/246)88% (457/517)
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.432.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.430.38
Total shots
1021
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
710
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
539
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
78% (191/246)88% (457/517)
Long passes
47% (25/53)78% (38/49)
Passes in final third
67% (49/73)78% (153/197)
Crosses
38% (3/8)23% (7/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.272.51
Throw-ins
1018
Fouls
1018
Tackles
80% (8/10)83% (5/6)
Duels won
4436
Clearances
297
Interceptions
70
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
0.380.43
Goals prevented
0.38-0.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Weverton 🟨,
  • 16', Fernando Henrique 🟨,
  • 17', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 30', Gustavo Medina 🟥,
  • 35', Thiago Lopes , Joao Ramos ,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Netinho ,
  • 45', Thiaguinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Weverton , Hayner ,
  • 46', Fernando Henrique , Giovanni ,
  • 46', Douglas Baggio , Willian Pottker ,
  • 57', Matheus Ribeiro , Leo Campos ,
  • 63', Thiaguinho , Breno Herculano ,
  • 66', Mikael 🟨,
  • 66', Eric Melo 🟨,
  • 67', Lucas Rodrigues , Kevin ,
  • 67', Albano , Alencar ,
  • 70', Gege 🟨,
  • 71', Netinho , Thayllon ,
  • 71', Juninho , Tarik ,
  • 75', Breno Herculano 🟨,
  • 75', Netinho 🟥,
  • 90+8', Ricardinho 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ferroviária
48.3%
Draw
29.6%
CRB Maceio
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 31.3% 32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 31.8% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.
  • CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CRB Maceio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferroviária - CRB Maceio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.54)
    3.14
    (2.95)
    4.34
    (2.85)
    6.3%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ferroviária - CRB Maceio?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 12 - 75%). CRB will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ferroviária: 53.8%96.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ferroviária will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Ferroviária is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Ferroviária
    16.06.2025 Chapecoense - Ferroviária 2:1
    29.05.2025 Ferroviária - Botafogo SP 1:1
    23.05.2025 Goiás - Ferroviária 2:0
    15.05.2025 Ferroviária - Avaí 1:1
    Latest results of CRB Maceio
    14.06.2025 CRB Maceio - Goiás 2:0
    07.06.2025 Avaí - CRB Maceio 1:0
    01.06.2025 CRB Maceio - Remo 2:0
    26.05.2025 Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio 2:1
    22.05.2025 CRB Maceio - Santos 1:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba22126424:15942
    2Goias22125528:20841
    3Novorizontino2299425:19636
    4Chapecoense-SC21104728:20834
    5Remo22810424:20434
    6Vila Nova FC22103922:20233
    7Criciuma2195727:20732
    8Cuiaba2295825:25032
    9Avai2188529:21832
    10CRB2184923:21228
    11Athletico-PR2276928:32-427
    12Atletico GO2169621:21027
    13Operario-PR2175923:22126
    14Ferroviaria2168722:23-126
    15Athletic Club21731123:28-524
    16America MG22641223:31-822
    17Volta Redonda2157914:23-922
    18Botafogo SP22571015:31-1622
    19Paysandu PA2149819:23-421
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )