Result
2:1
23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 38
- Referee: Arleu B. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (338/409) | 75% (202/270) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (338/409) | 75% (202/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (74/106) | 54% (53/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Netinho ⚽, Alencar (A),
- 26', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
- 37', Fabricio Daniel 🟨,
- 45+3', Erik Nascimento 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Thiaguinho ↓, Matheus Galdino ↑,
- 56', Leo Silva ↓, Dudu Mosconi ↑,
- 63', Vitor Barreto ↓, Fabio ↑,
- 63', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 70', Pedro Vilhena ↓, Ferreira G. ↑,
- 76', Gabriel Feliciano ↓, Jefferson ↑,
- 76', Joao Gabriel ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,
- 78', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Dudu Mosconi ⚽, Matheus Galdino (A),
- 84', Netinho ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 84', Ricardinho ↓, Albano ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Leo Gaucho (Pen),
Chances of winning
Operário Ferroviario
31.8% | Draw
29.1% | Ferroviária
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Operário Ferroviario - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.88) |
3.2 ↑
(3.15) |
2.4 ↓
(2.4) |
7.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Operário Ferroviario - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Operário PR will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Ferroviária (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Ferroviária (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário PR (votes: 1 - 25%). Ferroviária (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- In recent matches, Operário PR has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferroviária is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira
(Inactive)
Charles Raphael
(Inactive)
Giraldo J.
(Inactive)
Talles
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson
(Knee Injury)
Gustavo Jundi
(Injury)
Ronaldo
(Inactive)
Thayllon
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Operário PR: Cristiano
(Injury)
Filipe Claudino
(Injury)
Kleiton
(Inactive)
Marcos Paulo
(Muscle Injury)
Matheus Souza
(Inactive)
Thales Oleques
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Lucas Rodrigues
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Operário PR won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Ferroviária?
Operário Ferroviario has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Operário Ferroviario?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Operário Ferroviario - Ferroviária were as follows:
26.07.2025
Ferroviária
-
Operário Ferroviario
0:0
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
