Result
1:2
18/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Paulista A2 - Second stage - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Luketa ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 2, Matheus Prado ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 2, Douglas Skilo ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ferroviária
61.9% | Draw
24.6% | Sertãozinho
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Sertãozinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferroviária that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (+5%)
Ferroviária - Sertãozinho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↓
(1.6) |
3.71 ↑
(3.65) |
6.79 ↑
(5.22) |
9.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ferroviária is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Ferroviária won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Sertãozinho?
Ferroviária has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sertãozinho won against Ferroviária?
Sertãozinho has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferroviária - Sertãozinho were as follows:
14.02.2026
Ferroviária
-
Sertãozinho
3:2
Latest results of Ferroviária
Latest results of Sertãozinho
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2 Table
Second stageGroup 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Votuporanguense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Piracicaba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Agua Santa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Ituano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventus-SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sertaozinho | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
