Finn Harps vs Treaty United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
13/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
97
Corner kicks
56
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
147
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
50
Corner kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Oyenuga J. ,
  • 18', 0 - 2, Oyenuga J. ,
  • 31', Ohin R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Yoro E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', de Lacerda D. , Bradley-Walsh J. ,
  • 46', Zerrouk I. , Johnston M. ,
  • 46', Bradley S. , Ajibola T. ,
  • 53', Perrault T. 🟨,
  • 63', Layne J. , Cunningham B. ,
  • 68', Perrault T. , McLaughlin A. ,
  • 72', Ohin R. , Lee B. ,
  • 74', Tourish C. 🟨,
  • 78', 1 - 2, McAteer G. ,
  • 90', Oyenuga J. 🟨,
  • 90', Oyenuga J. , Murphy M. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, Tourish C. ,

Chances of winning


Finn Harps
42.8%
Draw
28.4%
Treaty United
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 28.7% 35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6% 27.8% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Finn Harps's performance.
  • Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treaty United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Finn Harps that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treaty United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Finn Harps - Treaty United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.58)
    3.24
    (3.21)
    3.2
    (2.58)
    8.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Finn Harps - Treaty United?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Finn Harps will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Treaty United will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Finn Harps: 2.5%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Finn Harps (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 2.
    • Finn Harps has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Treaty United is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Finn Harps won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Finn Harps - Treaty United were as follows:
    29.08.2025 Finn Harps - Treaty United 1:0
    27.06.2025 Treaty United - Finn Harps 0:0
    02.05.2025 Finn Harps - Treaty United 0:2
    28.02.2025 Treaty United - Finn Harps 3:1
    18.10.2024 Finn Harps - Treaty United 1:2
    Latest results of Finn Harps
    Latest results of Treaty United
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cork City651010:3716
    2Bray63217:5211
    3Athlone63128:7110
    4UC Dublin62136:607
    5Longford61326:606
    6Finn Harps61327:8-16
    7Kerry61326:7-16
    8Wexford61328:10-26
    9Cobh Ramblers61325:9-46
    10Treaty United61236:8-25

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