Finn Harps vs Treaty United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Division 1 Finn Harps - Treaty United
Result
1:0
29/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
49
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
16
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
49
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
16
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Conroy C. 🟨,
  • 17', Brogan O. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, Mpongo H. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Doherty F. , Byrne M. ,
  • 65', Lynch B. 🟨,
  • 70', Lomboto G. 🟨,
  • 71', Lomboto G. , McAteer G. ,
  • 74', Lee B. , Hanson J. ,
  • 74', Wilson C. , Murphy M. ,
  • 76', Zerrouk I. , Cullen J. ,
  • 86', Mpongo H. , McLaughlin A. ,
  • 90', Devitt L. , Nwankwo D. ,
  • 90+8', Bradley-Walsh J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Finn Harps
45.6%
Draw
28.9%
Treaty United
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 27.7% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 27.1% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Finn Harps's performance.
  • Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treaty United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Finn Harps that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treaty United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Finn Harps - Treaty United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.85)
    3.45
    (3.38)
    3.92
    (2.38)
    0.2%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 1.
    • Finn Harps is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Treaty United is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Finn Harps may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Finn Harps won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Finn Harps - Treaty United were as follows:
    27.06.2025 Treaty United - Finn Harps 0:0
    02.05.2025 Finn Harps - Treaty United 0:2
    28.02.2025 Treaty United - Finn Harps 3:1
    18.10.2024 Finn Harps - Treaty United 1:2
    26.07.2024 Treaty United - Finn Harps 1:0
    Latest results of Finn Harps
    22.08.2025 Finn Harps - Athlone Town 2:1
    08.08.2025 Kerry - Finn Harps 0:1
    01.08.2025 Wexford - Finn Harps 2:1
    Latest results of Treaty United
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dundalk29198260:233765
    2Cobh Ramblers29185655:272859
    3Bray291721049:391053
    4UC Dublin29137935:29646
    5Treaty United29981241:39235
    6Finn Harps288101033:36-334
    7Wexford29871432:42-1031
    8Kerry28851533:46-1329
    9Longford29781429:51-2229
    10Athlone29381821:56-3517

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