Result
2:2
13/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Oyenuga J. ⚽,
- 18', 0 - 2, Oyenuga J. ⚽,
- 31', Ohin R. 🟨,
- 45+1', Yoro E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', de Lacerda D. ↓, Bradley-Walsh J. ↑,
- 46', Zerrouk I. ↓, Johnston M. ↑,
- 46', Bradley S. ↓, Ajibola T. ↑,
- 53', Perrault T. 🟨,
- 63', Layne J. ↓, Cunningham B. ↑,
- 68', Perrault T. ↓, McLaughlin A. ↑,
- 72', Ohin R. ↓, Lee B. ↑,
- 74', Tourish C. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 2, McAteer G. ⚽,
- 90', Oyenuga J. 🟨,
- 90', Oyenuga J. ↓, Murphy M. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Tourish C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Finn Harps
42.8% | Draw
28.4% | Treaty United
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Finn Harps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Finn Harps's performance.Treaty United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Treaty United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Finn Harps that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treaty United than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Treaty United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Finn Harps - Treaty United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.58) |
3.24 ↑
(3.21) |
3.2 ↑
(2.58) |
8.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Finn Harps - Treaty United?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Finn Harps will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Treaty United will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Finn Harps: 2.5% – 64.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Finn Harps (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 2.
- Finn Harps has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Treaty United is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Finn Harps won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Finn Harps won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Finn Harps won against Treaty United?
Finn Harps has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Treaty United won against Finn Harps?
Treaty United has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Finn Harps - Treaty United were as follows:
29.08.2025
Finn Harps
-
Treaty United
1:0
27.06.2025
Treaty United
-
Finn Harps
0:0
02.05.2025
Finn Harps
-
Treaty United
0:2
28.02.2025
Treaty United
-
Finn Harps
3:1
18.10.2024
Finn Harps
-
Treaty United
1:2
Latest results of Finn Harps
Latest results of Treaty United
Irish Division 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cork City | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 23 |
| 2 | Wexford | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | UC Dublin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Bray | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 5 | Cobh Ramblers | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Athlone | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Finn Harps | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Longford | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Kerry | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Treaty United | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier Division
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Play Offs: )
